Make us your home page

Bay Buzz

The staff of the Tampa Bay Times

Clinton crushes Trump in USF poll



The outcome’s not a surprise, but the margin is a noteworthy: Hillary Clinton crushed Donald Trump in the University of South Florida’s traditional campus-wide straw poll by more than 2-1.

The results: Clinton-Tim Kaine 53 percent, Trump-Mike Pence 25 percent, Libertarians Gary Johnson-Bill Weld 9 percent, Green Party candidates Jill Stein-Ajamu Baraka 5 percent and “other,” 8 percent.

The poll was conducted from 10am-2pm Monday at a various campus locations and online, and 1,046 ballots were cast.

That’s slightly lower participation than in the 2012 poll, which included President Barack Obama’s re-election, said USF political scientist Susan MacManus, who directs the poll.

That’s not great news for Democrats if it suggests students and millennials are less enthusiastic about voting this year.

The news is also mixed for Democrat Patrick Murphy, who beat Republican U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio 43-40 percent, with Libertarian Paul Stanton pulling 7 percent. That suggests the heavily Democratic voters on campus aren’t tying Rubio to Trump and are willing to split their ballots.

Other outcomes (with amendments requiring 60 percent for passage):

  • Amendment 1 on solar energy fails to reach required 60 percent --yes 53 percent, no 25 percent, undecided 22 percent.
  • Amendment 2 on medical marijuana passes -- yes 78 percent, no 14 percent, undedided 8 percent
  • Amendment 3 on a property tax break for first responders disabled in the line of duty passes -- yes 66 percent, no 11 percent, undecided 23 percent
  • Amendment 5 on a property tax break for senior citizens fails -- yes 38 percent, no 22 percent, undecided 40 percent
  • Most important issue -- economy/jobs 35 percent, education 23 percent, foreign policy/terrorism 20 percent, health care 12 percent, environment 10 percent
  • Main source of campaign news: social media 42 percent, broadcast or cable television 32 percent, print or online newspapers 22 percent, radio 4 percent.

The voters in the poll were 94 percent students, 4 percent faculty and 2 percent staff; 52 percent female, 47 percent male and 1 percent “other”; and 54 percent white, 19 percent Hispanic, 12 percent black, 8 percent Asian and 7 percent “other.”

[Last modified: Monday, October 17, 2016 6:21pm]


Join the discussion: Click to view comments, add yours