Before we look ahead, let's look back at Bucs' drafts under Mark Dominik
For all the time and effort being spent this week trying to forecast what the Bucs will do in the first round of Thursday's draft, maybe we've lost sight of what might be the best indicator: The past.
The Bucs, since Mark Dominik became general manager in 2009, have been somewhat predictable in their first-round choices.
Consider: In 2009, with the whole world knowing the Bucs needed a quarterback, the Bucs drafted Josh Freeman. In 2010, when it was obvious their defensive front was terrible, the Bucs selected defensive tackle Gerald McCoy. And in 2011, when it was widely assumed the Bucs would try to beef up their pass rush, they of course drafted defensive end Adrian Clayborn.
If the Bucs stick to this approach and draft mostly for need (at least in the first round), then maybe we can make a more educated guess on what they'll do Thursday night. However, that brings us to another key question, which is determining the team's greatest need. Is it in the secondary? Linebacker? Running back? I could answer the question, but my response changes seemingly by the hour.
The point is this: maybe we shouldn't overthink this. Maybe, just maybe, the Bucs are going to make another move that, in hindsight, was pretty will seem pretty obvious. Figure out the Bucs' greatest need, and you might have just figured out who they will draft.