Tuesday, November 29, 2005

Winning Races Requires Candidates

With so few competitive legislative seats in Florida, you'd think Democrats would jump at a rare open seat they have a shot at winning. Take House District 50, which Democrats Al Gore and Bill Nelson won in 2000 and which Democratic U.S. Senate candidate Betty Castor last year comfortably won. John Kerry lost the district by less than 1 percent.

Republican Kim Berfield is preparing to vacate to run for state senate, and two strong Republicans, Ed Hooper and Nancy Riley, have been campaigning for months without a Democrat in the race.

That could soon change, however. Candice Jovan, a real estate agent and Pinellas organizer for the Howard Dean-created Democracy for America group, says she's seriously looking at running. Jovan, 60, works in Clearwater, lives in Safety Harbor and expects to make up her mind by year's end.

"I've been here a long time, and I've seen a lot of changes,'' Jovan said. "I've been in business. I understand people. I think I could do a very good job for the people in this area, and it's about serving people.''

Former Indian Rocks Beach city commissioner Joanna Kennedy, who ran against Republican Dennis Jones for state senate in 2002, is also considering it but worries the cash-strapped state party won't be able to help much.

"They say it's a winnable seat but basically they want you to get in there, say you're going to run, and then they'll let you know in August of next year if they're going to help you,'' said Kennedy, who works in the district but would have to move to satisfy residency requirements.

15 Comments:

  • At 12:00 PM, November 29, 2005, wake up will you... said…

    Sadly, very sadly... it's not about qualifications, integrity, ethics, and honor any more. It's about MONEY. It makes you wonder if the lives of 2000+ young American men and women are worth losing, in an effort to bring Iraq a democracy based on who can raise the most MONEY, rather than who has the integrity to represent the people.

     
  • At 12:08 PM, November 29, 2005, Anonymous said…

    No candidate equals no win. You can't win something with noone.

    Which is why the Democrats have sunk to the low levels they currently occupy -- even though the state is 50-50 between Dems and Repubs.

    Those running the races will argue that they lack the money to compete across the state. So, they will put money into races that should be gimme wins for the Dems.

    That approach, in turn, gives Democrats North of I-4 and along the Southwest Coast with nothing to vote for. The Democrat running statewide then is put in a disadvantage because a Democrat in Jacksonville, Pensacola, Fort Myers, Sarasota, Fort Walton, Panama City have nothing at the Legislative level to vote for. Thus, you've got a 26-14 Senate and an 81-29 House.

    It's time for the Dems to get real and get candidates running across the state. Or, are they too afraid to take their ideas out of Florida's urban areas and university enclaves and test them with the hard-working middle class people the Democrats say they fight for?

    Come on Dems, show us a pulse and show us you still have ideas and know how to fight.

    If you don't this Dem will take a serious look at Charlie Crist. While I disagree with a lot of what the GOP stands for (tax cuts for the wealthy at the expense of those who need the most help) I like Crist because he shows he has a pulse, ideas and knows how to fight.

    I live in the Panhandle. I want to vote for a Democrat. I want a Democratic governor to have a Legislature that won't override everything his does.

    Will one of the South Floridians running the Legislative races please give me a Democrat to vote for in November? That's the least they can do to help Governor Davis or Governor Smith.

    Wake up.

     
  • At 1:01 PM, November 29, 2005, A.L.C. said…

    Great. Another crazy, elderly Deaniac to give the party a bad name. Dems would be better off not running anyone.

    Isn't there anyone in this district who could really give Hooper a good race? Who is eminently qualified? I can't believe that there aren't any. I just don't think anyone is interested in running with a big D attached to the back of their name given the way the party has been acting these past few years.

     
  • At 4:07 PM, November 29, 2005, Anonymous said…

    I like how they fail to mention that in 02 Jeb got 55% Crist got 55% and Bronson got 59%; that plus W beating Kerry by any amount speaks for a GOP seat.

     
  • At 4:23 PM, November 29, 2005, Anonymous said…

    I think our elderly friend has a point. Why don't the Democrats run more candidates?

     
  • At 4:47 PM, November 29, 2005, Anonymous said…

    So if both potential Dems run, would we have Candy vs. Cookie ?

     
  • At 5:06 PM, November 29, 2005, Anonymous said…

    Sounds like a Sweet matchup.

     
  • At 6:50 PM, November 29, 2005, Anonymous said…

    4:07, Betty Castor got 51-percent in the district. While it leans slightly Republican, it's certainly competitive, and that's how it was characterized.

     
  • At 9:01 PM, November 29, 2005, H.J.B. said…

    a.l.c., unfortunately Hooper might not get a chance to face a Dem challenger since he must first win a difficult primary.

    Hooper's primary opponent Nancy Riley was elected 2006 president-elect of the Florida Association of Realtors and has the backing of much of local party leadership. So far Nancy and Ed are even in the money race. Though expect Nancy to gobble up a bunch of realtor money soon giving her a financial edge.

    Hooper lost to Berfield 56 to 44 for this seat in 2000. Hooper's strength is in his experience having held held public office before as a Clearwater city commissioner. He's also had the experience of a previous campaign for District 50. Hooper would do a good job if elected but he has a tough road ahead.

    Hooper needs to reach out to female voters in a big way (hint hint line up some key female endorsements and messengers) to overcome his biggest weakness in this district - being male. His other big weakness for a Republican primary is that he's seems to be an independent thinking moderate. Primary voters still want conservatives. Hooper should focus on his firefighter and public safety credentials.

    Riley has paid her dues to the party as a committewoman and volunteer. She'll have every realtor in town and many from around the state supporting her and plenty of Tallahassee money. The party will also dedicate plenty of ground troops to her. All the stars are aligned for a Riley victory even though Hooper would likely do a better job for this district.

     
  • At 1:24 AM, November 30, 2005, Anonymous said…

    Ed Hooper is a Democrat. He just switched since Democrats can't win there. That's why Berfield beat him. Ha ha Ed ... Mr. Big Bad Firefighter got beat by a girl.

     
  • At 1:27 AM, November 30, 2005, Anonymous said…

    9:01 - Nancy Riley is just as liberal as Ed Hooper. Both are pro-abortion and wishy washy on civil unions, which makes this seat ripe for a right winger to march through the middle.

     
  • At 10:47 AM, November 30, 2005, Anonymous said…

    Ed also has the label of being a carpetbagger. He has jumped in and out of 3 races this cycle alone.

    Think he filed for 48, then filed for 54 when Sullivan quit, then jumped when Rice annouced for it and finally filed in 50. Makes him look like a professional candidate in search of a seat.

     
  • At 2:14 PM, November 30, 2005, Anonymous said…

    I know that the Republicans won't support a pro-abortion candidate !?!

    Maybe it isn't too late for Randall Terry to change to this district and save the good people of District 50

     
  • At 4:31 PM, November 30, 2005, Anonymous said…

    They'll support Nancy. She is a constant in the local party and has a solid base. Excpet to a minority of pubs on the far right abortion won't even be an issue since the sate generally doesn't see nay abortion legislation. ANd as the dems here have pointed out, 50 isn't a majority conservative district.

     
  • At 12:57 AM, December 01, 2005, Anonymous said…

    4:31

    It will be a political issue in that race, just you wait and see. In due time my boy, in due time.

     

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