State rethinks enrollment projections for 2009-10
Just days after Gov. Crist released his optimistic education budget, the Legislature's Office of Economic and Demographic Research has changed its expectations for how many students will enroll in public schools next year (click on the "official conference summary" link).
It actually boosted the total number of children in seats from 2,602,108 to 2,607,935. That's still smaller than the current year's student population of 2,613,734, just not by as much.
Around the Tampa area, though, the agency projects several districts to be smaller than in the governor's spending plan, perhaps confirming district officials' concerns that the governor's recommendations offer little guidance. Here are some of the differences:
Hernando - 22,654 (Crist plan) / 22,528 (EDR report)
Hillsborough - 188,582 (Crist plan) / 188,227 (EDR report)
Pasco - 66,789 (Crist plan) / 66,201 (EDR report)
Pinellas - 102,984 (Crist plan) / 103,077 (EDR report)
The state plans to update its revenue estimates in mid-March (see the schedule). Perhaps then we'll have a better idea of how big, or small, the cuts will be.