I don't know Sharks
It’s never a good sign when your dog does better on football predictions than you do. But alas, ReggieHomeTeam picked Anclote and Nature Coast. I chose Fivay (21-20) and Pasco (35-10). I was wrong, of course. Anclote won 44-21, and NCT squeezed out a 29-28 win.
I wasn’t at the Anclote game, so it’s hard for me to analyze that one. But here’s why I was wrong about Pasco-Nature Coast:
I overestimated the Pirates. The last time I saw Pasco, it lost three fumbles and threw an interception in a 17-6 loss to Sunlake. I chalked that up to the Seahawks being very, very good and Pasco having a rough night against a stellar defense. It happens. After Pasco lost five turnovers against NCT, I’m beginning to think the Sunlake game wasn’t an aberration. Those mistakes are fixable for Pasco, but they’re a major, major concern.
I underestimated NCT. Make no mistake about that. I don’t feel so bad about that, considering the Sharks admit that they didn’t play well at the start of the season.
I didn’t think DeShawn Smith would be as effective as he was (three TDs) against a fast, athletic Pasco defense. I also wasn’t sure about QB Ryan Quigley, who started in place of the injured Jamison Carnegie. But Quigley played well, ran hard and kept his team in the game.
I wasn’t sure NCT’s defense would be able to keep the Pirates from long scoring plays. But the Sharks only gave up one TD of more than 20 yards, and they kept Nate Craig mostly in check. That’s not easy to do.
And NCT’s offense had struggled this season. Only scoring 15 points in the first two games wasn’t reassuring against a good defense.
Add it up, and I get a heaping helping of crow.