Golden Globes didn't tell Oscar anything new
Keep one thing in mind about Sunday's stunning Golden Globes results, and the effect on Thursday's Academy Award nominations.
They don't mean anything.
The deadline for returning Oscar nomination ballots was Friday afternoon, two days before the Hollywood Foreign Press Association's outlier decisions.
Sunday's biggest winner - The Revenant with three Globes for best picture-drama, actor Leonardo DiCaprio and director Alejandro G. Inarritu - is likely on Oscar's short list, anyway. But so are Spotlight, The Martian, Carol, and Mad Max: Fury Road, that unlike The Revenant already claimed top honors from at least one critics' organization.
DiCaprio's win was the lone non-upset; he's a Globes favorite with two previous wins, and Oscar's frontrunner in a classic case of being overdue. The other two wins sent an already jumbled awards season into Powerball hopper mode.
Any momentum from the Globes will be after the nomination fact, how the academy likes it, and why it ends up celebrating one year's movies in late February of the next.
Sunday's results could sway a few Oscar voters to think again, dig out that Steve Jobs DVD from the bottom of the for-your-consideration stack. If only a movie's subject could be raised from the dead like that biopic flop, posting two shock-paddle upsets for supporting actress Kate Winslet and screenwriter Aaron Sorkin.
Winslet ended Jennifer Jason Leigh's winning spree for The Hateful Eight (a.k.a. Quentin Unhinged), plus her Oscar chances got a needed bump, with Steve Jobs far in the rearview mirror. So far that there's a slim chance Winslet didn't make Oscar's final cut, in a movie year packed with strong performances by women..
That disconnect famously happened to Ben Affleck, when he was named best director for Argo then wasn't nominated for an Oscar. With any luck it'll happen again this year. Not to Winslet but Sam Smith and his wretched Globe-winning song Writing's on the Wall from Spectre.
If anything about the Globes promises to influence Oscar balloting, it's the classy yet awkward way Sylvester Stallone accepted his supporting actor award for Creed. He forgot to thank his director Ryan Coogler and the star he supported, Michael B. Jordan while thanking his agents twice but that doesn't matter. Stallone's audition for an Oscar acceptance speech was gracious, and subtly humble. He'll get a callback, and know his lines better next time.
The Martian should get a boost from winning the best picture-musical/comedy prize because it's neither, and the academy seldom honors comedies with best picture Oscars, anyway. Now the sci-fi blockbuster must worry about being eclipsed by an even larger one.
The wild card Oscar voters are holding is Star Wars: The Force Awakens, likely to become the highest grossing movie of all time.
A drawn-out voting process and Disney hiding The Force Awakens until just before its Dec. 17 opening left the Oscars as the only major award able to consider its merits. How impressed they are is another question to be answered Thursday morning, when Academy Award nominations are announced.