Make us your home page

The Buzz

From the staff of the Tampa Bay Times

Clinton leads Trump by 3 percentage points in Florida, poll shows

The following is from a Mason-Dixon news release:

Democratic front-runner Hillary Clinton currently holds a slight lead over Republican Donald Trump among Florida voters. Statewide, 45% support Clinton, 42% back Trump, 6% say they will vote for Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson and 7% are undecided.

Clinton is gaining her edge in two key areas – some defections from Trump to Johnson among white Republican and independent voters and extremely strong support for her among Hispanics (68%).

As the largest swing state, there is always speculation that one of the party nominees might choose a Floridian as a vice presidential running-mate. This year is no different with some chatter that Clinton might consider Florida Senator Bill Nelson and even more talk surrounding the possibility that Trump could select Florida Governor Rick Scott.

Nelson doesn’t appear to pay big dividends for Clinton. He does have a small net positive effect amongst independent and undecided voters, but it appears to be marginal. Still, he certainly would do no damage and could make the difference in a one or two-point race.

On the other hand, Scott could be toxic for Trump in the state. A whopping 40% of Florida voters say they would be “less likely” to vote for Trump with Scott on the ticket. It should be noted that this figure is heavily driven by voters already supporting Clinton (67%), but the negative numbers also spill over into those still undecided. A significant 43% of those who are yet to make up their minds say they would be “less likely” to vote for a Trump-Scott ticket.

This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Jacksonville, Florida from May 31 through June 2, 2016. A total of 625 registered Florida voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All indicated they were likely to vote in the November general election.

[Last modified: Friday, June 3, 2016 10:34am]


Join the discussion: Click to view comments, add yours