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From the staff of the Tampa Bay Times

Davis Touts Poll



An internal poll by the Democratic Jim Davis gubernatorial campaign shows the Tampa congressman beating state Sen. Rod Smith of Alachua, 31 percent to 13 percent among likely primary voters, according to a campaign memo. When voters initially undecided are pressed, the lead is 41 - 17, with 42 percent undecided, according to the memo from pollsters Harrison Hickman and Eily Hayes.

But - a big but - the 7/20 memo concerns a 6/13-6/18 survey of 700 Democrats. We won't bother to speculate why it's leaked more than a month later.

"Davis enjoys an advantage on nearly every issue tested and continues to be seen by double-digit margins as the candidate best able to handle the top issues in the campaign: jobs, education and health care. The race remains fluid with the majority of voters either undecided or only weakly committed to the candidate they currently prefer. ... Davis enjoys an advantage in name recognition, which contributes to his current lead in vote preference, but his lead is not solely a function of familiarity. Nearly three in four likely primary voters say they have heard of Jim Davis (72%), while 59% are familiar with Rod Smith. But Jim Davis wins majority support (53%) even among those voters who are able to rate both Democratic candidates." The memo says Davis leads in every major region and every major demographic subgroup.

[Last modified: Wednesday, September 15, 2010 3:09pm]


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