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From the staff of the Tampa Bay Times

Dem Fla poll: Obama 48%, Romney 47%



From: Project New America and USAction on their Oct. 28-29 Fla poll by Grove Insight (MoE +/-4%):

**Barack Obama is ahead by one percentage point (48% to 47%). One key reason the race is tight here is because the gender gap is narrow. Obama has just a three-point lead with women (49% to 46%) and trails Romney by one with men (46% to 47%).

**Though the President has a big lead with Independent women (51% to 42%), the race is very close among Independent men, who give a slight edge to Obama (43% to 41%). A lot of these voters are sitting on the fence right now (13% of Independent men are undecided).

**Obama’s lead extends beyond just the youngest voters – he’s ahead of Romney among every age group from 18 to 60 – including 50-somethings. However, while the under 50 crowd (55% to 40%) provides Obama with his lead, those over age 50 support Romney (42% to 53%).

**Registered Democrats (86%) and Republicans (88%) are similarly consolidated around their party’s nominee. The game is among Independents, where Obama holds a six point lead (47% to 41%).

[Last modified: Thursday, November 1, 2012 2:55pm]


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