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From the staff of the Tampa Bay Times

Fla poll: Dead heat between Obama and Romney, who leads I-4 corridor



A Jan. 10-12 Tarrance Group poll (MoE +/- 4.1%) for the Everglades foundation shows Barack Obama winning 46 percent support and Mitt Romney pulling 45 percent. Obama is leading among independents, 44 percent to 39 percent, and among Hispanic voters, 50 percent to 41. Here's the geographic breakdown.


Ø      The ballot test for the general election is a statistical dead heat. Governor Romney captures 45% of the vote in a Presidential ballot test among Florida voters, while 46% indicate they would vote for President Obama, and 9% are undecided.  The chart below shows the ballot test in key regions of the state and among specific voter groups:


                                                                                Romney                 Obama                Undecided


                All                                                                                           45%                        46%                        9%


            Miami DMA                                                                          29%                        62%                        9%

                Orlando DMA                                                                      50%                        43%                        6%

                Tampa DMA                                                                         49%                        45%                        7%

                West Palm DMA                                                                  53%                        35%                     13%

                Jacksonville DMA                                                               56%                        41%                        3%


                I-4 Corridor                                                                            51%                        42%                        8%


                Men                                                                                        46%                        46%                        8%

                Women                                                                                  45%                        46%                        9%


Among the 218 Republicans surveyed, Romney had the support of 42 percent, followed by 16 percent for Newt Gingrich, 13 percent for Rick Santorum, 9 percent for Ron Paul, 6 percent for Rick Perry, and 3 percent for Jon Huntsman. Ten percent were undecided.

The poll found strong, bi-bartisan support for increased Everglades restoration funding, with 58 percent of voters supporting Gov. Rick Scott's proposal to increase Everglades funding by $10-million.


Full results here



[Last modified: Tuesday, January 17, 2012 3:21pm]


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