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The Buzz

From the staff of the Tampa Bay Times

Fla poll: Gingrich 47%, Romney 17%, Cain 15

30

November

Wow. Looks like the InsiderAdvantage poll  released earlier today is no outlier. A robo poll (MoE +/- 4.5 percent) from the Democratic firm PPP also shows Newt Gingrich blowing away the field among the Republican voters in Florida.

PPP: ...In Florida Gingrich is at 47% to 17% for Romney, 15% for Herman Cain, 5% for Ron Paul, 4% for Michele Bachmann, 3% for Jon Huntsman, 2% for Rick Perry, 1% for Rick Santorum, and 0% for Gary Johnson....(The results) really exemplify one of the key emerging trends in the Republican race- Gingrich isn't just rising, Romney's also falling. His 17% in Florida is down 13 points from 30% when we polled the state in late September. His 11% in Montana is down 11 points from 22% when we polled the state in June.

In addition to his support for the nomination, Romney's personal popularity is down too. His Florida favorability was +43 (65/22) and it's declined 28 points to +15 (51/36).  He's dropped in Montana too although it's a more modest change there from +11 (47/36) to only +5 (44/39).

The biggest reason for Newt Gingrich's rise is that he's picked up the voters of Herman Cain and Rick Perry as their campaigns have fallen apart.  But these numbers make it pretty clear he's doing more than that- some of Mitt Romney's '25%' is starting to fall off and move toward Newt as well....

More here

[Last modified: Wednesday, November 30, 2011 3:35pm]

    

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