Herald Poll: Obama underperforming in Miami Dade
...In the presidential race, Obama leads Romney among likely voters in Miami-Dade by a margin of 52 percent to 43 percent, the Herald survey found. But that might not be good news for the president: Four years ago, Obama pummeled GOP challenger John McCain by a 58-42 margin in Miami-Dade, helping Obama overcome McCain’s support in the more conservative areas of north Florida and win the state’s electoral votes.
“Given that Obama only carried the state by three points [in 2008], he can’t afford to underperform” in Miami-Dade, Coker said.
Romney has a huge 29-point lead over Obama among Miami-Dade’s Hispanic voters, making Miami-Dade an outlier from the rest of the country, where Obama has overwhelming support among Hispanics. The difference can be attributed largely to Cuban-American voters, 76 percent of whom support Romney, the poll found. Only 19 percent of Cuban voters in Miami-Dade said they are supporting Obama.
The county’s Cuban-Americans are also largely opposed to Obama’s approach to U.S.-Cuba relations. Seventy-one percent of Cuban-Americans surveyed said they oppose the president’s Cuba policies, while only 14 percent support the president. Among all voters surveyed, 37 percent supported the president’s Cuba policies, while 43 percent opposed them...