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From the staff of the Tampa Bay Times

Poll: Sen. Bill Nelson is vulnerable

15

February

A Feb 9-10 Sachs/Mason-Dixon Poll (MoE +/-) released today highlights Bill Nelson's vulnerability, with the Democratic incumbent failing to top 50 percent among any potential challenger though losing only to Jeb Bush.
 
"Regardless of his many years of public service, Sen. Nelson’s re-election in 2012 is anything but a sure thing – in fact, any of his prospective Republican challengers is positioned to be competitive and possibly win," said Ron Sachs, president and CEO of Ron Sachs Communications, which commissioned the poll. "This contest will be a national story, as will the fact that, if he ran and the election were held today, former Gov. Jeb Bush would beat Sen. Nelson."

The poll of 625 registered Florida voters conducted Feb 9-10 had the following hypothetical matchups:

**Former Gov. Jeb Bush leads Nelson 49 percent to 41 percent.
**Nelson edges U.S. Rep. Connie Mack 45 percent to 40 percent.
**Nelson is ahead of former U.S. Sen. George LeMieux 49 percent to 35 percent.
**Nelson leads Florida Senate President Mike Haridopolos 48 percent to 25 percent. 
**Nelson is leading former State Rep. Adam Hasner 46 percent to 24 percent.
 
"Bill Nelson will clearly have a much more difficult path to victory next year than he had in 2006. He is in trouble if voters in 2012 are looking to throw out career politicians like they did in the past election," said Mason-Dixon Managing Director Brad Coker. "The fact that Sen. Nelson currently can’t crack 50 percent against any GOP challenger in a head-to-head match-up, including several lesser-known lawmakers, is a clear sign of vulnerability."

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[Last modified: Tuesday, February 15, 2011 12:50pm]

    

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