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From the staff of the Tampa Bay Times

PPP Poll: Bill Nelson holding at least 13 point lead over GOP opponents

30

March

Sen. Bill Nelson, a Democrat up for re-election in 2012, holds "at least a 13 point lead" over prospective Republican opponents, a new poll finds.

"The Republicans who poll strongest against Nelson aren't going to run. Connie Mack IV, who announced he wouldn't seek the office after we'd already started the poll, trailed Nelson by 13 points at 47-34. Another incredibly long shot candidate, MSNBC host and former Congressman Joe Scarborough, trails by 13 points as well at 45-32.

Among the more plausible candidates former Senator George LeMieux does best but still trails by 15 points at 48-33. Mike Haridopolos and Adam Hasner trail by 16 points at 50-34 and 48-32 respectively, and Wikipedia founder Jimmy Wales does the worst with a 19 point deficit at 47-28." reads an analysis by Public Policy Polling.

PPP is a Democratic firm that does automated calls. Polls this early should be viewed with some perspective. Just ask Charlie Crist.

"None of the Republican hopefuls are particularly well known at this point so it's likely they would make up some ground were any of them to become the nominee. Only 35% of voters know enough about Scarborough to have an opinion and that drops to 32% for Haridopolos, 31% for LeMieux, 23% for Hasner, and 17% for Wales."

"With double digit leads over all of his prospective opponents and few voters who dislike him, I think there's a pretty good chance Nelson's vulnerability has been strongly overrated." Full analysis here.

[Last modified: Wednesday, March 30, 2011 4:44pm]

    

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