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From the staff of the Tampa Bay Times

Q poll: McCain, Romney dead even in Florida



A new Quinnipiac University survey released on Election Eve finds John McCain and Mitt Romney in a statistical tie in Florida, with McCain at 32 percent and Romney at 31 percent. Rudy Giuliani trails with 14 percent and Mike Huckabee has 13 percent. Among likely Democratic voters, Hillary Clinton has a wide 50-30 percent lead over Barack Obama, with John Edwards trailing at 12 percent. The survey included 481 likely Democrats (MOE +/- 4.5 percentage points) and 585 Republicans (MOE +/-4.1). The poll was conducted Jan. 24-27, so most voters were surveyed before Gov. Charlie Crist endorsed McCain.

Quinnipiac's Peter Brown, analyzing the data, described McCain supporters as "slightly more committed" than Romney voters. In a Dec. 20 Quinnipiac poll in Florida, McCain was fourth with 13 percent. Over the past five weeks in Florida, he has gained 19 points, compared to 11 points for Romney. During that same time, Giuliani's support fell by half, from 28 points to 14 points.

[Last modified: Wednesday, September 15, 2010 2:19pm]


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