The Buzz

From the staff of the Tampa Bay Times

Q Poll: Rick Scott up by just 1 point over Alex Sink

12

October

Another day, another poll, another result.

This morning, Quinnipiac University released its latest survey of likely voters and found that Repubulican Rick Scott is clinging to a 1 percentage point lead over Democrat Alex Sink (45-44). That's quite a move for Sink, who was down 43-49 in Quinnipiac's last Oct. 1 survey. Sink also is winning among independents (51-34), a group she was losing 40-46 to Scott earlier this month.

The poll suggests Sink, who promised to run an issues-based campaign, has decided to go negative, releasing a slew of ads questioning the ethics of Scott, whose former hospital company was ultimately whacked with a $1.7 billion Medicare fraud fine. Sink's latest tack: question Scott's last healtchare investment company, Solantic, a chain of walk-in clinics. Though Solantic is no Columbia/HCA, Sink is conflating the two, in part because Scott is refusing to release a deposition (given six days before he ran for governor) in a lawsuit regarding the chain of walk-in clinnics.

Scott has hit back, noting fraud charges that swirled around the NationsBank chain when she was Florida president.

Still, Sink is viewed as a more ethical business person than Scott by a 44-28 percent margin, according to the poll. She's also viewed more favorably than unfavorably (42-37), while Scott's fav/unfav numbers are upside-down: 39-46.

But the election is ultimately about jobs and the economy. And voters seem to think Scott is the best man to get the state out of the financial doldrums. While Sink leads among those who think the economy is improving, but more voters believe the economy is getting worse. And they're with Scott. Also, more Republicans and conservatives are expected to show up at the polls this election, providing a crucial edge for Scott as well.

In the highly polled race, nearly every survey has a different result. Taken together, they show the race is essentially dead even. But they also show Sink has more momentum, suggesting she'll start leading in most surveys soon.

 

[Last modified: Wednesday, October 13, 2010 6:45am]

    

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