From UVA uber quote Larry Sabato's latest Crystal Ball installment: "When one prominent blog labeled Sarasota as the nation's craziest district, the Crystal Ball couldn't help but agree. Incumbent Katherine Harris's Senate bid has been the laughingstock of the campaign world for ages, but now GOP contender Tramm Hudson's statements casting doubt on the swimming abilities of African-Americans has only confirmed the district's reputation. We bet Buchanan will win the Republican nod, but with a late Florida primary, we cannot rule out Democrat Jennings, who has been eagerly waiting in the wings."

He has CD 13 pegged as "leans Republican,'' while the Bilirakis-Busansky race doesn't make his "ferocious forty" list of most competive races. CD 22 (Shaw-Klein) is a "toss-up."