The Buzz

From the staff of the Tampa Bay Times

Stuff to make both parties worry about Fla's early vote

29

October

Why Republicans should worry:

The Democratic spin: On the first day of Early Voting, Democrats opened up a 37,734 lead in Early Vote turnout.
 
***In Broward County, on the first day of Early Voting 18,902 Democrats voted, while 4,669 Independents turned out and just 4,223 Republicans turned out to Early Vote.
 
***In Miami-Dade County, 14,896 Democrats Early Voted while just 5,506 Republicans turned out to Early Vote.
 
*** In Orange County, 7,666 Democrats Early Voted versus just 3,226 Republicans.
 
***In Hillsborough County, on the other side of the I-4 Corridor and a key swing county, Democrats bested Republican turnout by nearly 5,000 votes. (Dems: 11,026, GOP: 6,344) In terms of total votes cast, Democrats also lead Republicans in this bellwether county by 8 percentage points. (Dems: 52,505, GOP: 43,467)

***In Leon County, where they had record turnout, 67% of voters who cast Early Votes were Democrats.

****Even in key Republican strongholds such as Lee County, where the GOP has a double-digit voter registration advantage, more Democrats Early Voted yesterday than Republicans. And in Seminole County, 675 more Democrats Early Voted than Republicans.

***Despite Mitt Romney having an Early Vote Rally just two blocks from an Early Voting site in Pensacola, Republicans only lead by 88 votes in very Republican Escambia County.

Why Democrats should worry

The Republican spin:

***Turnout is up in the most Republican areas of the Panhandle. We are already at almost 14 percent of 2008 early votes in the Mobile-Pensacola market, where Republicans out-voted Democrats by more than 10 points four years ago.

***Turnout is already over 17 percent of ’08 early voting, after just one day, in Martin County. Republicans out-voted Democrats by 13 points in Martin County four years ago.

***Turnout is over 16 percent of ’08 early voting in Indian River County. Republicans out-voted Democrats by 12 points in Indian River County four years ago. (West Palm Beach DMA)

***Turnout is less than 8 percent of ’08 early voting in Miami-Dade County, where Democrats out-voted Republicans by 29 points in 2008 early voting. (Miami DMA)

****Turnout is less than 10 percent of ’08 early voting in Alachua County, where Democrats out-voted Republicans by 41 points in 2008 early voting. (Gainesville DMA)

***Turnout is less than 10 percent of ’08 early voting in Orange County, where Democrats out-voted Republicans by 33 points in 2008 early voting.

 

 

[Last modified: Monday, October 29, 2012 1:02am]

    

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