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From the staff of the Tampa Bay Times

Two or three-person Dem primary for AG?

Gelber2 Rodsmith Aronberg So here's my sense of where things stand in the Democratic race for attorney general. At the urgency of Bill Nelson and others, the three would-be candidates took a breath before rushing to the courthouse to file (Plus there's less urgency because Republicans don't yet have a clear field for AG either). No one wants a bruising Democratic primary, but no one has a juice to clear the field either. A two-person primary is different than a three-person primary.

Dan Gelber and Dave Aronberg seem poised to to file, and the main question mark is Rod Smith. Smith has made it clear he is not interested in a big primary battle, but If Gelber and Aronberg both file, the Gainesville attorney's path to the nomination would be easier with two candidates splitting up the south Florida vote. 

Many Democrats see Jeff Atwater as too tough to beat for CFO. Meanwhile there's speculation Gelber could wind up tapped for U.S. Attorney (sounds like a long shot) and that Aronberg will decide to challenge U.S. Rep. Tom Rooney (again a longshot that Aronberg will want to go for a district that Barack Obama lost by 5 points).

So for now it's a waiting game, and Rod Smith appears to be the key player.

[Last modified: Thursday, September 9, 2010 6:03pm]


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