Vern Buchanan poll: Buchanan 54%, Keith Fitzgerald 32%
Internal polling for U.S. Rep. Vern Buchanan, R-Sarasota, shows him well positioned to trounce Democrat Keith Fitzgerald. Here's the internal memo:
TO: INTERESTED PARTIES
FROM: GLEN BOLGER
RE: FLORIDA’S 16th CONGRESSIONAL DISTRICT SURVEY;
DATE: JULY 17, 2012
1. Florida CD 16 continues to be a solidly Republican district.
Looking at the generic Congressional ballot, the Republican candidate leads by double digits, with 48% opting for the generic Republican candidate, and just 32% choosing the Democratic candidate. Twenty percent (20%) are undecided.
2. With favorables north of 50%, Vern Buchanan is clearly well liked in the district. Vern Buchanan enjoys a solid image of 53% favorable/33% unfavorable. Conversely,
Buchanan’s opponent Keith Fitzgerald is still largely undefined, with name ID below 50% (45%) and an image of just 16% favorable/7% unfavorable.
3. Buchanan enjoys a commanding lead on the Congressional ballot.
Congressman Buchanan leads Fitzgerald by more than twenty points (54% Buchanan/32% Fitzgerald) on the ballot. Buchanan also has a very significant edge on
intensity, with 42% of voters saying they will definitively vote for him, compared to just 21% who would definitely vote for Fitzgerald.
The Bottom Line
Congressman Buchanan is well-positioned for re-election. Buchanan’s favorables continue to be over 50%, and he maintains a twenty-two point lead on the ballot. As a result of these strong numbers, this race continues to show no signs of being competitive.
The survey of a random sample of 400 likely voters in Florida’s 16th Congressional District was conducted by Public Opinion Strategies. The survey was conducted on July 15-16, 2012 and has a margin of error of + 4.9% in 95 out of 100 cases.
"Congressman Vern Buchanan is under investigation by a Tampa grand jury, the IRS, the FBI, Justice Department, the Office of House Ethics, and CNN. Of course he released a bogus poll," said Adam Scott, Keith Fitzgerald's campaign manager.