Debunking the myth that independent voters decide Florida elections
Good column by Greg C. Truax and Barry Edwards, who would like to see the legislature or next Constitution Revision Commission implement an instant runoff system when no one receives at least 50 percent of a primary vote.
Conventional wisdom in Florida politics says the candidate who wins independent voters will win the election. ... The data show that these independent voters are not much different from their nominally partisan counterparts — and are not swing voters. ... Independent voters gave Romney 54 percent of the vote. These independent voters did not decide the election, and their preferences were wildly different from the final vote. According to ANES data, independent voters in two of the last three presidential elections voted for the losing candidate ..