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From the staff of the Tampa Bay Times

Dem poll: Gwen Graham neck and neck w Steve Southerland



Emily's List is touting a poll suggesting that Gwen Graham, daughter-o-Bob and challenger to Republican U.S. Rep. Steve Southerland in north Florida's district 2, is all but tied with the incumbent. Check it out:


If the 2014 election for Congress were held today, would you vote to re-elect Steve Southerland?

Re-elect:                              40%

Someone Else:                  40%

Unsure:                                20%


If the 2014 election for Congress were held today, and the race was between Steve Southerland, the Republican, and Gwen Graham, the Democrat, how would you vote?

Southerland:                      44%

Graham:                              42%

Unsure:                                14%



Clarity Campaign Labs conducted this poll of registered voters in Florida’s Second Congressional District on August 27th and 28th.  1,152 voters with an IVR survey, including a live-patch cell phone oversample. The margin of error is +/- 2.85%.


And here’s the partisan breakout between 2010 and the IVR. (Slight changes reflect a better environment for Democrats in 2014 than in 2010)


Party Reg.           2010       IVR

D                             54%        55%

R                             38%        35%

Other/NPA            8%       10%

[Last modified: Thursday, September 5, 2013 5:53pm]


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