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From the staff of the Tampa Bay Times

Fla Chamber poll: Trump 25%, Rubio 14%, Bush 13%

The Florida Chamber political poll was conducted Sept. 16-20, 2015, and the margin of error is +/- 4.

Florida Chamber

The Florida Chamber political poll was conducted Sept. 16-20, 2015, and the margin of error is +/- 4.

29

September

A Sept. 16-20 Florida Chamber of Commerce poll finds Donald Trump comfortably leading Marco Rubio and Jeb Bush in Florida, but both Trump and Hillary Cliinton facing deeply negative perceptions. Only 37 percent of likely Florida voters have a favorable opinion of Clinton, while 57 percent have an unfavorable opinion, while 35 percent have a favorable view of Trump and 53 percent unfavorable. Forty eight percent have a favorable view of Jeb Bush, and 39 percent an unfavorable.opinion.

From a release:

“We’re more than five months away from the primary, and the front runner today very well may not be the front runner in March, 2016,” said Andrew Wiggins, Senior Director of Campaigns and Elections for the Florida Chamber of Commerce.

Head-to-Head Matchups: Although the primaries are more than five months away, and it’s impossible to predict, below are some potential scenarios:

Hillary Clinton beats Donald Trump 42 to 41 percent, but Jeb Bush beats Hillary Clinton 48 to 37 percent.
In a scenario where Jeb Bush is the Republican candidate, Hillary Clinton is the Democratic candidate and Donald Trump is an Independent, Hillary Clinton leads Jeb Bush 35 percent to 32 percent, with Donald Trump receiving 21 percent of the vote.
If The Race Were Held Today: In the Presidential Republican primary, Donald Trump leads with 25 percent, while Carly Fiorina, Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio are all within the margin of error of each other.

Donald Trump – 25 percent
Marco Rubio – 14 percent
Jeb Bush – 13 percent
Carly Fiorina – 11 percent
Ben Carson – 9 percent
Ted Cruz – 6 percent
Right/Wrong Direction: Additionally, the recent statewide Florida Chamber political poll shows almost half of Floridians believe Florida is heading in the right direction, and nearly half approving of the job Rick Scott is doing as Governor.

44 percent of Floridians believe Florida is heading in the right direction, compared to 37 percent that think we’re heading in the wrong direction, and
48 percent of Floridians approve of the job Rick Scott is doing as Governor, while 39 disapprove.
Top Issues Among Likely Voters: Also, likely Florida voters believe the economy is the most important issue facing Florida. Specifically:

24 percent of likely voters say job creation and the improving the economy is the most important issue facing Florida,
13 percent of Florida voters believe education should is the most important issue in the state,
9 percent of registered voters believe healthcare is the most important issue, and
6 percent of Florida voters believe immigration is the most important issue our state is facing.
Constitutional Amendments: Voters will vote on several Constitutional Amendments that are expected to be on the ballot.

Solar Amendments: With the two competing solar amendments, one appears to be winning while the other is losing.

Limits or Prevents Barriers: 41 percent support while 35 percent oppose.
Rights of Electricity Consumers Regarding Solar Energy Choice: 76 percent support while 7 percent oppose.
Medical Marijuana: After losing in 2014, the medical marijuana amendment continues gaining support, with 67 percent supporting and 27 percent opposing.

ABOUT THIS POLL: The Florida Chamber political poll was conducted September 16-20, 2015, and the margin of error is +/- 4 with a 95 percent confidence level. Below are crosstabs.

 

[Last modified: Tuesday, September 29, 2015 9:08am]

    

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