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From the staff of the Tampa Bay Times

In Florida poll, Hillary Clinton 48%, Donald Trump 42%



Suffolk University, the folks who declared in October 2012 that Mitt Romney had Florida in the bag and that there was no need to continue polling the Sunshine State that cycle, are out with a new poll of likely Florida voters that shows Hillary Clinton beating Donald Trump 48 percent to 42 percent. In a four way race, Suffolk had Clinton with 43 percent, Trump with 39 percent, Libertarian Gary Johnson with 4 percent, and Green Party nominee Jill Stein with 3 percent.

From Suffolk:

 “Hillary Clinton is leading thanks to southern Florida and women,” said David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center in Boston. “Trump is even seeing some Republicans holding back at this point while Clinton is a bit stronger among registered Democrats.”

In the two-way ballot test, Clinton led by 12 points among women (50 percent to 38 percent) while carrying the south Florida region 57 percent to 33 percent. Trump won among registered Republicans 74 percent to 16 percent but Clinton performed a little better among registered Democrats, besting Trump 81 percent to 13 percent.

When Clinton and Trump voters were asked if their vote is for their candidate or against the other, 67 percent of Clinton voters said their vote was for her while 28 percent said it was more of a vote against Trump. Conversely, only 52 percent of Trump voters said their vote was for him, while 39 percent said it was more of a vote against Clinton.

Asked if they feel more or less safe living in America than they did five to 10 years ago, 57 percent of Floridians said less safe, 11 percent more safe, and 28 percent said there was no change. Likely voters said that the number one issue facing the next president is terrorism and national security (26 percent), followed by jobs/economy (18 percent), and nominating Supreme Court justices (10 percent).

With over a dozen Zika cases identified in the Wynwood area of Miami, Floridians from all regions of the state are concerned about the Zika virus spreading in the United States. Nearly 42 percent of likely voters said that they were very concerned about the virus spreading over the next several months, with an additional 34 percent somewhat concerned.

[Last modified: Thursday, August 4, 2016 2:56pm]


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