In new Florida poll, Marco Rubio gives up ground to Ted Cruz
March 9–11 CBS/YouGov Poll: Donald Trump 44 percent, Ted Cruz 24 percent, Marco Rubio 21 percent, John Kasich 9 percent (margin of error +/- 4.8 percentage points).
Rubio and Cruz are within the margin of error of one another in that poll, the second credible survey to find the Texas and Florida senators statistically tied. A March 4–10 NBC/Wall Street Journal poll had Trump with 44 percent, Rubio with 22 percent and Cruz with 21 percent (margin of error +/- 4.3 percentage points).
Who wins second and third is irrelevant, given that Florida has a winner-take-all delegate system, but a third place finish in his home state would even more humiliating for Rubio.
Meanwhile, Quinnipiac University today released its March 8–13 Florida poll, which showed Trump leading among likely Republican voters with 46 percent support, Rubio with 22 percent, Cruz with 14 percent and Kasich with 10 (margin of error +/- 4 percentage points). Quinnipiac compared Rubio to a breakfast side dish.
“Sen. Marco Rubio, who has staked his future on wining his home state, looks like he’ll soon be toast," Brown said. "He trails GOP leader Donald Trump by more than 20 points with polling through Sunday night.”