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From the staff of the Tampa Bay Times

Fla poll: Trump 36%, Rubio 18%, Carson 15%, Cruz 10%, Bush 9%

Presidential candidates Donald Trump (L) speaks while Ben Carson looks on during the CNBC Republican Presidential Debate at University of Colorados Coors Events Center October 28, 2015 in Boulder, Colorado. A new poll shows Donald Trump with a two-to-one advantage over everybody else and former Gov. Jeb Bush in fifth place.

[Justin Sullivan | Getty Images]

Presidential candidates Donald Trump (L) speaks while Ben Carson looks on during the CNBC Republican Presidential Debate at University of Colorados Coors Events Center October 28, 2015 in Boulder, Colorado. A new poll shows Donald Trump with a two-to-one advantage over everybody else and former Gov. Jeb Bush in fifth place.

18

November

A newly released poll of likely Florida Republican primary voters by the Florida Atlantic University Business and Economics Polling Initiative shows Donald Trump with a two-to-one advantage over everybody else and former Gov. Jeb Bush in fifth place, behind Ted Cruz. 

“Despite conjecture that Donald Trump has plateaued, his support in Florida remains very strong and could be growing,” said Kevin Wagner, Ph.D., associate professor of political science at FAU and a research fellow of the Initiative.  

On the Democratic side, the Nov. 15-16 survey found Hillary Clinton crushing Bernie Sanders 66 percent to 22 percent. But  continues to trail in head-to-head matchups with the Republican frontrunners, trailing Carson 50 percent to 41 percent, and Trump 49 percent to 41 percent.

“While Clinton is losing in all the trial heats, she is winning among females,” said Monica Escaleras, Ph.D., director of the BEPI. “Thus it appears that her strategy of targeting women is working.”

From a release:

The GOP primary fight has not had a positive impact on favorability ratings for many of the candidates. Trump has a favorable rating of just 41 percent among all voters, while 51 percent have an unfavorable impression of him. His numbers are more positive among likely GOP voters, however, with 63 percent favorable compared to 32 percent unfavorable.

Clinton also suffers from negative name recognition, with voters giving her a 41 percent favorable rating, compared with 54 percent saying they have an unfavorable impression of her. Among Independent voters, Clinton’s numbers drop to 35 percent favorable and 56 percent unfavorable.

... The polling sample for the Democratic and the Republican primary consisted of 297 and 355 likely Florida voters, respectively, with a margin of error of +/-5.6 percent and +/-5.2 percent at a 95 percent confidence level. The General Election Sample consisted of 829 registered voters with a margin of error of +/-3.3 percent and a 95 percent confidence level.

[Last modified: Wednesday, November 18, 2015 1:18pm]

    

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