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From the staff of the Tampa Bay Times

Florida poll: Trump has narrow lead over Clinton



Donald Trump is beating Hillary Clinton in Florida by two percentage points, 47 percent to 45 percent, according to a poll released Monday by a group tied to Gov. Rick Scott.

Other recent polls in Florida have shown the reverse, so the larger take away is that Florida remains competitive.

“Four months out from the 2016 presidential election, both Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are badly upside-down by image in the state of Florida,” reads a polling memo from OnMessage. “That said, Clinton fares worse than Trump sitting 13 points in the red at 42% favorable to 55% unfavorable compared to Trump’s -11 (43%/54%). Among Independents, Clinton’s image falls to -20 (36% fav/56 unfav) while Trump fares better, in comparison, at just -8 (43% fav/51% unfav).”

“As the old adage goes, ballot follows image, and this is currently the case in Florida as Donald Trump edges out Hillary Clinton on the presidential ballot, 47% to 45%.

The poll was conducted for Let’s Get to Work by OnMessage Inc. Telephone interviews were conducted June 26-28 2016. This survey consists of 800 likely voters in Florida and was stratified to reflect historic voter trends. The margin of error is +/-3.46%.

Democratic strategist Steve Schale questioned the findings, nothing that pollsters did not release demographics.

[Last modified: Monday, July 11, 2016 2:57pm]


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