NBC/WSJ Florida Poll: Rubio 48%, Murphy 46%; Clinton 45%, Trump 42%
An NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll conducted Oct. 3-5 finds Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump in Florida 45 percent to 42 percent, with the poll's margin of error. Gary Johnson drew 5 percent and Jill Stein 3.
The polls shows a dead even Senate race, with Republican Marco Rubio 48 percent to 46 percent.
In Florida, Clinton runs ahead of Trump in a two-way contest among African Americans (86 percent to 6 percent), Latinos (63 percent to 27 percent), likely voters ages 18-29 (63 percent to 31 percent) and women (51 percent to 41 percent).
Trump, meanwhile, leads among men (48 percent to 41 percent) and whites (55 percent to 36 percent). But there is an important difference here: Trump is ahead among whites without a college degree by a 62 percent-to-29 percent margin.
Yet among whites with a college degree, Trump is up by only four points, 48 percent to 44 percent.
Geographically, Trump holds the advantage in Florida's Panhandle (52 percent to 42 percent) and the Tampa area (49 percent to 39 percent), while Clinton is ahead in the Miami area (57 percent to 34 percent) and Orlando (50 percent to 39 percent).