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From the staff of the Tampa Bay Times

Patrick Murphy showing life in race against Marco Rubio

20

October


Republican incumbent Sen. Marco Rubio remains favored to win a second term against Democrat Patrick Murphy, but for the first time in a couple of months, it feels like Rubio is no longer an overwhelming favorite.

At the very least, it is increasingly likely that the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee and the Democrats' Senate Majority PAC, which pulled money out of the race, may wake up Nov. 9, see a narrow Rubio victory, and regret pulling out too soon.

Clearly, the more Donald Trump loses ground and turns off vast swaths of the electorate, the more Rubio needs to worry. He probably can survive Hillary Clinton carrying Florida by 2 percentage points, but not necessarily 5.

"I think Marco's probably in good shape, but he can't take anything for granted because it's an election year like none we've ever seen before," said Republican consultant Mike Hanna of Tallahassee. "(Trump) is the wild card, not only for Marco but a lot of Republicans down the ticket. … It's not going to be a good year for Republicans." 

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[Last modified: Thursday, October 20, 2016 8:19am]

    

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