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From the staff of the Tampa Bay Times

Poll: A Dem advantage in Fla House Dist 36 special election

15

September

A poll for the Democratic party by the respected Hamilton Campaigns shows a slight advantage, but within the margin of error, for Democrat Amanda Murphy over Republican frontrunner Bill Gunter in the special election to succeed Republican Mike Fasano in his west Pasco state House District 36.

Asked whether they would vote today for a nameless Democrat over a nameless Republican, 37 percent said Republican and 41 percent said Democrat. Asked whether they would vote today for Democrat Amanda Murphy or Republican Bill Gunter, Murphy edged Gunter 40 percent to 39 percent. The pollster also offered information about the likely choice on Oct. 15, and Murpy still narrowly led:

Now I will read you some additional information about two candidates running for State Representative in your area… (READ AND ROTATE):

• Amanda Murphy, the Democrat, is a financial advisor who will ensure that local public schools provide our children with a quality education and that teachers are supported with the tools they need. 

Murphy will make state government more effective and efficient, and will stop tax breaks for special interests. She is committed to keeping government out of women’s health care decisions.

• Bill Gunter, the Republican, is a local Pastor who is strongly pro-life and will stand up for family values.  Gunter will keep taxes low on Florida families trying to make ends meet, and lower taxes on small businesses, so they can create jobs.  Gunter was endorsed by Sherriff Chris Nocco because of his commitment to reducing crime and having safe neighborhoods for our children.

Hearing all of this, if the special election for State Representative from this area were held today, and the candidates were (ROTATE) Amanda Murphy, the Democrat, and Bill Gunter, the Republican – who do you think you would support? (IF UNDECIDED) Well, which one do you lean toward at this time?

Amanda Murphy, the Democrat.......................................................................................................... 47

Bill Gunter, the Republican................................................................................................................. 44

Undecided .......................................................................................................................................... 9

Gunter, who must make it through a three-person Republican primary, is the preferred candidate of the GOP establishment, but this poll suggests he might be better served keeping that from House Distict 36 voters. After all, only Forty two percent rated the legislature's performance good or excellent and 56 percent said not so good or poor. Just thirty five percent said Gov. Rick Scott is doing a good or excellent (just 2 percent) job as governor, while 60 percent said he doing a not so good or poor job. Forty one percent had a favorable opinion of Scott and 50 percent unfavorable.

The Sept. 6-9 poll of 350 registered voters likely to vote in the Oct. 15 special election has a margion of error of +/-5.2 percent. The sample was 38 percent Democrat, 43 percent Republican and 20 percent other.



[Last modified: Sunday, September 15, 2013 3:24pm]

    

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