Make us your home page

The Buzz

From the staff of the Tampa Bay Times

Poll shows Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump neck and neck in Florida

Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are running neck and neck in Florida, according to a new Quinnipiac University poll that finds Clinton with 43 percent support and Trump with 42 percent.

It looks like a Women are from venus, men are from Mars election: She leads Trump by 13 points among women, and he leads Clinton by 13 points among men.

Republicans’ weakness among minority voters is well known. But the reason this race is so close overall is Clinton’s historic weakness among white men. In Florida, she is getting just 25 percent from white men,” Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac Poll.

Quinnipiac's April 27 through May 8 telephone poll also surveyed likely voters in Pennsylvania and Ohio, finding Clintin leading 43 to 42 percent in Pennsylvania, and Trump leading Ohio 43 percent to 39 percent. The margin of error in each poll was plus or minus 3 percent.

“At this juncture, Trump is doing better in Pennsylvania than the GOP nominees in 2008 and 2012," Brown said, "and the two candidates are about where their party predecessors were at this point in Ohio and Florida.”

The latest Quinnipiac poll contrasts with another April 25-27 poll taken by the Republican-leaning Asociated Industries of Florida, which found Clinton leading Trump in Florida 49 percent to 36 percent.

In the Quinnipiac poll, Florida's independent voters were divided equally 39 percent to 39 percent, but white voters supported Trump 52 percent to 33 percent and nonwhite voters backed Clinton 63 percent to 20 percent. Trump was leading among voters 65 and up, 50 percent to 37 percent, and Clinton led 49 percent to 27 percent among voters 34 and under.

Fifty-seven percent said they did not consider Trump honest and trustworthy and 66 percent said they same about Clinton. Fifty-four percent said she had the right temperament to be president, and 34 percent said the same of Trump. Only 37 percent had a favorable view of Clinton and Trump and 57 percent viewed both candidates unfavorably

In a hypothetical Bernie Sanders vs. Trump match-up, the Vermont senator received 44 percent support to 42 percent for Trump.

 More from Quinnipiac:

Florida voters say 54 – 40 percent that Trump would do a better job than Clinton handling the economy, and say 49 – 43 percent that he would be better on terrorism.

Voters say 52 – 38 percent that Clinton is more intelligent than Trump and 46 – 41 percent that she has higher moral standards. Clinton has the temperament to handle an international crisis,

Florida voters say 54 – 44 percent. Trump does not, voters say 62 – 34 percent.

Florida voters support 77 – 20 percent, including 60 – 36 percent among Democrats, requiring voters to show photo ID.

Illegal immigrants should be allowed to stay in the U.S. and apply for citizenship, 57 percent of voters say, while 11 percent say they can stay but not apply for citizenship and 25 percent say they should be required to leave the U.S.

Florida voters split 48 – 48 percent on whether the U.S. should build a wall along the Mexican border. Men support the wall 54 – 44 percent, with women opposed 52 – 43 percent. White voters

want a wall 55 – 41 percent, with non-white voters opposed 65 – 31 percent.

Full poll results here


[Last modified: Tuesday, May 10, 2016 7:51am]


Join the discussion: Click to view comments, add yours