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From the staff of the Tampa Bay Times

PPP: Rubio would not be a lock for re-election; Trump-Clinton a 'toss up'

Despite a poll yesterday showing support for Marco Rubio running for another Senate term, a new PPP poll shows a tough battle with Democratic front-runner Patrick Murphy.

“Only 32% of voters in the state approve of the job Rubio is doing as Senator, to 54% who disapprove,” the Democratic-aligned PPP says in a memo. “Those numbers make him one of the least popular Senators in the country. Even among Republicans his numbers are barely positive at 51/37 and he does very poorly with both independents (25/54) and Democrats (18/70). Only 39% of voters in the state want him to run for reelection this year, compared to 51% who say he should sit it out.

“If Rubio did decide to run, he would face a tough contest. He trails Patrick Murphy 44-43 in a hypothetical match up, and that comes despite Murphy currently having only 38% name recognition (20% favorable, 18% unfavorable). Among voters who are actually familiar with both Murphy and Rubio, Murphy’s advantage widens to 22 points at 57/35. Murphy would start out as a wider favorite over Carlos Beruff (43/31) and David Jolly (44/29).”

In the presidential race, “Florida looks like a toss up. Donald Trump’s at 41% to 40% for Hillary Clinton, with Gary Johnson at 4% and Jill Stein at 2%. In a head to head match up, Trump leads Clinton 45/44. What’s interesting about that is Clinton actually leads 45/34 with independents. But Trump has the slight overall edge because his 83/9 advantage with Republicans is a good deal better than the 77/14 one Clinton has with Democrats. If she can get the party unified around her after officially clinching the nomination she should have a slight edge in Florida, but for now Sanders supporters are showing some reluctance.”

More here.

[Last modified: Tuesday, June 7, 2016 3:18pm]


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