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From the staff of the Tampa Bay Times

Q poll: Rubio easily beats Murphy, Grayson



Marco Rubio has a big lead over either Democrat Patrick Murphy or Alan Grayson, a new Qunnipiac poll shows, a reassuring sign for the GOP trying to hold the Senate.

In a hypothetical matchup, Rubio leads Murphy by 13 percentage points, 50 to 37.

Against Grayson, it's 50 to 38.

Last month, before he announced his re-election campaign, Rubio had a 7 point lead over Murphy and an 8 point advantage on Grayson.

“Democrats made fun of Sen. Marco Rubio when he opted for a last-minute re-election bid in Florida, but he may be on the way to a last laugh, having quickly opened double digit leads over both Democratic challengers," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

If Republican Carlos Beruff were the nominee, Murphy would have the edge, taking 40 percent of the vote to Beruff's 34 percent.

Rubio enjoys widespread name recognition, having been in the Senate and as a presidential candidate. A general election battle would likely tighten and could hinge on who wins the White House.

But for now, it's Rubio's race.

From a polling memo:

In Florida, Sen. Rubio leads Rep. Murphy 54 – 33 percent among men and 47 – 40 percent among women, with similar results in a Rubio-Grayson matchup.

Rubio does better among non-white voters than most Republican candidates, trailing Murphy 48 – 34 percent. White voters back Rubio 59 – 31 percent.

Independent voters back Rubio 51 – 32 percent.

Rubio gets a divided 46 – 43 percent job approval rating.

Voters approve 42 – 29 percent of the job Sen. Bill Nelson is doing and give Gov. Rick Scott a split 43 – 44 percent approval rating.

“The breadth of Sen. Rubio's lead against Rep. Patrick Murphy, who has the backing of the Democratic leadership, is impressive," Brown said. "He has a 19-point margin among independent voters and scores 10 points better among Republicans than Murphy does among Democrats.”

From June 30 - July 11, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,015 Florida voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percentage points.

[Last modified: Thursday, July 14, 2016 7:55am]


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