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From the staff of the Tampa Bay Times

UNF poll shows Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump in Florida



A Sept. 27- Oct. 4 poll of likely Florida voters by the Public Opinion Research Laboratory at the University of North Florida, shows Hillary Clinton beating Donald Trump, 47 percent to 40 percent. Her edge narrows when people were asked about a four-person race, with Clinton drawing 41 percent, Trump 38 percent, Libertarian Gary Johnson 6 percent, and Green Party nominee Jill Stein 4 percent.

“Clinton has gotten a bounce after her strong debate performance last week, it will be fascinating to see how this plays out after the second debate on Sunday”, said Dr. Michael Binder, Faculty Director of the Public Opinion Research Laboratory. “The size of Clinton’s lead drops when the additional candidates (Johnson and Stein) are listed in the question. This suggests that the Clinton campaign should perhaps perceive Johnson as a threat, who is taking more votes from her than Trump”, said Dr. Binder.

They survey found Clinton leading Trump among college graduates 51 percent to 36 percent, among black voters 86 percent to 1 percent, and Hispanic voters 56 percent to 29 percent. Trump was leading among white voters 51 percent to 37 percent and by at least 7 points among voters 56 and older.

Prior to this poll Clinton was leading by 2.8 percentage points in the RealClearPolitics average of recent Florida polls.

[Last modified: Wednesday, October 5, 2016 11:26pm]


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