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NOVEMBER 17, 2009

Is another Tampa Bay home price dip coming next spring?

Many economists, most recently at a home builders conference I reported on last month, have been predicting housing weakness next spring when several things happen at once: Interest rates rise, the home buyer tax credit expires, foreclosures tick up and the government eases purchases of mortgage backed securities.

Now here's more support for that theory from Reuters:

Both the credit and another major government action -- the purchase of more than $1.4 trillion in mortgage-related securities aimed at cutting home loan rates -- will now end within weeks of each other. The purchases stop by March 31.

Unless the employment picture brightens around that time, housing does not have enough footing to forge a recovery on its own, most economists and industry experts said.

More proof that the government should be focusing on making it easier to operate small- to medium-sized businesses - whether we like it or not our primary job engine. Talk of large tax increases, crushing debt and new multi-trillion-dollar government entitlements encourages caution and businesses retrenchment.

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Housing market news is the focus of the (Un)Real Estate blog. It offers an inside look at the Florida housing market and real estate news, with a focus on Tampa Bay. Its goal? Simple: To help you keep a roof over your head without losing your shirt.

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