The New England Patriots are going to hoist the Lombardi Trophy for the third time in four seasons.
So says a Madden NFL 18 simulation of Super Bowl LII.
The video game predicts a dramatic finish in Sunday’s championship contest, with the Patriots knocking down a potential game-winning touchdown pass to preserve a 24-20 win over the Eagles.
Why should you believe what Madden says? EA Sports, the game’s developer, started using Madden to simulate the Super Bowl in 2004, and since then it has correctly predicted the winner 10 times. Its record has been more mixed in recent seasons, however. It incorrectly picked the Steelers to beat the Packers in 2011, the Broncos to beat the Seahawks in 2014 and the Panthers to beat the Broncos in 2016.
Since 2015, the Tampa Bay Times has used Madden to forecast the Buccaneers’ season. The results have been eerily accurate.
This season, many expected Tampa Bay to end its playoff drought. Madden didn’t buy the hype. Our simulations predicted six wins; the Bucs won five.
Here is every Madden Super Bowl prediction since 2004:
• Super Bowl XXXVIII
Madden prediction: Patriots 23, Panthers 20
Real result: Patriots 32, Panthers 29
• Super Bowl XXXIX
Madden prediction: Patriots 47, Eagles 31
Real result: Patriots 24, Eagles 21
• Super Bowl XL
Madden prediction: Steelers 24, Seahawks 19
Real result: Steelers 21, Seahawks 10
• Super Bowl XLI
Madden prediction: Colts 38, Bears 27
Real result: Colts 29, Bears 17
• Super Bowl XLII
Madden prediction: Patriots 38, Giants 30
Real result: Giants 17, Patriots 14
• Super Bowl XLIII
Madden prediction: Steelers 28, Cardinals 24
Real result: Steelers 27, Cardinals 23
• Super Bowl XLIV
Madden prediction: Saints 35, Colts 31
Real result: Saints 31, Colts 17
• Super Bowl XLV
Madden prediction: Steelers 24, Packers 20
Real result: Packers 31, Steelers 25
• Super Bowl XLVI
Madden prediction: Giants 27, Patriots 24
Real result: Giants 21, Patriots 17
• Super Bowl XLVII
Madden prediction: Ravens 27, 49ers 24
Real result: Ravens 34, 49ers 31
• Super Bowl XLVIII
Madden prediction: Broncos 31, Seahawks 28
Real result: Seahawks 43, Broncos 8
• Super Bowl XLIX
Madden prediction: Patriots 28, Seahawks 24
Real result: Patriots 28, Seahawks 24
• Super Bowl 50
Madden prediction: Panthers 24, Broncos 20
Real result: Broncos 24, Panthers 10
• Super Bowl LI
Madden prediction: Patriots 27, Falcons 24
Real result: Patriots 34, Falcons 28
Contact Thomas Bassinger at [email protected] Follow @tometrics.