The odds of a low pressure system in the Bahamas developing into a tropical depression in the next two days has risen to 60 percent, according to the National Hurricane Center.

The government agency says showers and thunderstorms have increased within the disturbance, and that only a ‘slight increase’ in the organization of the system will result in it developing into a tropical depression later today or tonight.

While it’s more likely-than-not to become a tropical depression, forecasters say further development into a subtropical storm is unlikely due to “strong upper-level winds.”

Forecasters say the low is expected to move northwestward at around 15 miles per hour today, and north-northwestward to northward tonight and Tuesday, remaining just off of Florida’s east coast. It currently sits near Andros Island in the Bahamas.

While unlikely to become the year’s third name storm — and bear the name Chantal — forecasters say the system will bring heavy rainfall, thunderstorms and gusty winds over portions of both the Bahamas and Florida the next two nights.

Forecasters will provide another update on the system at 8 p.m. Eastern Time.

Related: The 2019 hurricane names are out, and it could be another busy season

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EXTENDED FORECAST: The 10-day outlook for the Tampa Bay area

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