Churches, activists push magic number of 350

Danish police arrest protesters Sunday in Copenhagen, near the U.N. climate change summit. About 100 nations now share a goal of 350 parts per million of carbon dioxide in the air.

Associated Press

Danish police arrest protesters Sunday in Copenhagen, near the U.N. climate change summit. About 100 nations now share a goal of 350 parts per million of carbon dioxide in the air.

COPENHAGEN — As police cracked down on climate protesters, church bells tolled 350 times Sunday to impress on the U.N. global warming conference a number that is gaining a following, but is also awash in contradictions.

Conference negotiators went behind closed doors in talks to pin down an elusive new pact on climate, talks in which the figure 350 looms as a goal for believers, but one that appears impossible based on progress so far.

It refers to 350 parts per million of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, the highest concentration that some leading scientists say the world can handle without sparking dangerous climate effects.

"It's the most important number in the world," said Bill McKibben, founder of the environmental activist group 350.org. "It's the line between habitability on this planet and a really, really desolate future."

Not everyone buys into that. But an entire environmental group has sprung up around the number, pushing 350 as a goal, sporting it on T-shirts and flags waved by protesters that marched to the conference center over the weekend. About 100 nations at the summit have signed on to the idea of 350.

Actually, the world has lived with more than 350 for a while.

The last time the Earth had 350 ppm of carbon dioxide in the air was a generation ago, in the fall of 1989. This year CO2 pushed over the 390 level. When scientists started measuring carbon dioxide in 1958 it was 315.

Since the atmosphere passed the 350 level, ice sheets have been melting and other dramatic changes have been happening. Prominent scientists — notably NASA's James Hansen, one of the earliest to warn about global warming, and Rajendra Pachauri, head of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change — have said 350 is the only safe level of carbon dioxide in the air.

Still, many economists, political leaders, and even some scientists believe the worst effects of global warming can be avoided even with less stringent actions.

But there is general agreement among negotiators and climate scientists that continued global warming will lead to dramatic changes that mean more widespread drought in some regions, greater flooding along coastlines, stronger storms and the loss of species.

Sunday, hundreds of churches around the world had signed up to ring bells at 3:50 p.m. in their respective time zones.

"It was an incredibly powerful moment and to know that there are bells ringing all over Europe, up to Greenland, down into the south Pacific and every corner of the planet," McKibben said.

Rainforest plans

A proposal aimed at saving tropical forests suffered a setback Sunday, when negotiators ditched plans for faster action because of concerns that rich countries aren't willing to finance it. The destruction of forests — burning or cutting trees to clear land for plantations or cattle ranches — is thought to account for about 20 percent of global emissions. So a deal on deforestation is considered a key component of a larger pact on climate change. On Sunday, language calling for reducing deforestation 50 percent by 2020 was struck from the text being considered. And the document does not say how much money would go to the more than 40 developing nations in Latin America, Asia and Africa.

Churches, activists push magic number of 350 12/13/09 [Last modified: Sunday, December 13, 2009 10:00pm]

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