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Greenspan denies blame, admits 'flaw'

WASHINGTON — Badgered by lawmakers, former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan denied the nation's economic crisis was his fault on Thursday, but conceded the meltdown had revealed a flaw in a lifetime of economic thinking and left him in a "state of shocked disbelief."

Greenspan, who stepped down in 2006, called the banking and housing chaos a "once-in-a-century credit tsunami" that led to a breakdown in how the free market system functions. And he warned that things would get worse before they get better, with rising unemployment and no stabilization in housing prices for "many months."

The financial crisis even prompted the Republican Greenspan, a staunch believer in free markets, to propose that government consider tougher regulations, including requiring financial firms that package mortgages into securities to keep a portion as a check on quality. He said other regulatory changes should be considered, too, in such areas as fraud.

Greenspan's interrogation by the House Oversight Committee was a far cry from his 18½ years as Fed chairman, when he presided over the longest economic boom in the country's history. He was viewed as a free-market icon on Wall Street and held in respect bordering on awe by most members of Congress.

Not now. At an often contentious four-hour hearing, Greenspan, former Treasury Secretary John Snow and Securities and Exchange Commission Chairman Christopher Cox were repeatedly accused by Democrats on the committee of pursuing an antiregulation agenda that set the stage for the biggest financial crisis in 70 years.

Greenspan, 82, acknowledged under questioning that he had made a mistake in believing that banks, operating in their own self-interest, would do what was necessary to protect their shareholders and institutions. Greenspan called that "a flaw in the model … that defines how the world works."

He acknowledged that he had also been wrong in rejecting fears that the five-year housing boom was turning into an unsustainable speculative bubble that could harm the economy when it burst. Greenspan maintained during that period that home prices were unlikely to post a significant decline nationally because housing was a local market.

On the billions of dollars of losses suffered by financial institutions because of their investments in subprime mortgages, Greenspan said he had been shocked by the failure of banking officials to protect their shareholders from their bad decisions.

"A critical pillar to market competition and free markets did break down," Greenspan said. "I still do not fully understand why it happened."

SEC Chairman Cox told the House panel that "somewhere in this terrible mess, laws were broken." And Snow said that lawmakers should have responded more quickly to his pleas for stronger regulation for mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which were taken over by the government last month.

Job losses accelerate

The Labor Department released bleak new unemployment numbers Thursday. New applications for unemployment insurance rose 15,000 last week to a seasonally adjusted 478,000, above analysts' estimates of 470,000. Claims above 400,000 are considered a sign of recession. The unemployment rate is 6.1 percent, but economists predict it will rise to between 7 and 8.5 percent by early next year.

Oil production cuts? Iran and Venezuela urged OPEC on Thursday to slash output by 2-million barrels per day to stem a slide in prices, which are at their lowest in 15 months. The price on the New York Mercantile Exchange Thursday was $68.24, nearly $40 below what oil fetched just 30 days ago.

Borrowing record: Banks borrowed in record amounts from the Federal Reserve's emergency lending facility. A Fed report released Thursday showed commercial banks averaged a record $105.8-billion in daily borrowing over the past week. That surpassed the old record, a daily average of $99.7-billion, from the prior week.

big world credit line? With the financial crisis engulfing developing countries from Latin America to Central Europe, raising the specter of market panic and even social unrest, the International Monetary Fund is in negotiations with several countries to provide emergency loans and also is working to arrange a huge credit line that would allow other countries desperate for foreign capital to borrow, according to several officials. The list of countries under threat grows by the day and now includes such emerging-market stalwarts as Brazil, South Africa and Turkey.

Times wires

Greenspan denies blame, admits 'flaw' 10/23/08 [Last modified: Monday, November 7, 2011 4:43pm]
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