Monday, December 18, 2017

Syria meets first disclosure deadline

BERLIN — Syria met the first deadline of its pledge to surrender its chemical weapons arsenal on Friday, delivering its initial disclosure to the headquarters of the Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons in The Hague, Netherlands, by the time limit that Russia and the United States had set last weekend.

In a statement on its website, the organization said it had received the filing but it revealed nothing else, except that the disclosure "is now being examined by the Technical Secretariat," the group's experts.

Reaction from the U.S. State Department, which has voiced skepticism that Syria would abide by the U.S.-Russia deal, was muted. When she was asked whether it was an encouraging sign that Syria had submitted the document on time, spokeswoman Marie Harf said she didn't want "to get ahead of the process."

By the book, once Syria is accepted as a member of the organization, it would have 10 years to destroy its arsenal, with the chance of a five-year extension. In Syria's case, the timeline is expected to be closer to a single year, a task that Ahmet Uzumcu, the head of the organization, said in a statement this week was an "onerous responsibility that the world is placing on our shoulders."

Other experts said that while the timeline was too short for the task being undertaken, the beginning of the process was a good sign.

"The most important thing is that this job is started, and that progress is made," said Ralf Trapp, a chemical weapons consultant who was an original member of the preparatory commission that became the Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons in 1997 and who worked for the body until 2006. "If you can't be optimistic about this job in Syria now, you've lost before you begin. So I choose to believe."

Experts agree that the organization has had difficult tasks before. It was overseeing the destruction of Libya's chemical arsenal when the revolt against Moammar Gadhafi broke out. After Gadhafi's regime collapsed, the new Libyan government found and declared a previously unknown stash of mustard gas, which has yet to be fully destroyed.

Since its formation under the Chemical Weapons Convention, the organization has overseen the whittling of the world's store of chemical weapons and ingredients from 71,196 metric tons to 13,456 metric tons, as of July 31. Stockpiles have been identified and destroyed or are being destroyed in Albania, India, Iraq, Libya, Russia and the United States.

The organization's usual role — inspect, advise and verify the voluntary destruction of an arsenal during peacetime — can be complicated. But Syria is particularly so, because of the civil war raging there. Experts see a list of complications that is daunting.

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