Put this in the "small accomplishments" category for a Congress whose dysfunction has sparked uniquely high levels of public disdain this year: It appears exceedingly unlikely that lawmakers will let the government close down at the end of this week, when a short-term funding measure that has kept the lights on expires.
Partisan clashes have brought the government to the brink of a shutdown three times in the past year. But this time appropriators from the House and Senate have been quietly working toward a presentation late today of a compromise spending measure that would outline how government agencies should spend nearly $1 trillion through Sept. 30, 2012.
Their work has largely been overshadowed by a bitter fight between Republicans and President Barack Obama over extending a one-year cut in the payroll tax, paid by 160 million workers, when it lapses at the end of the month.
The payroll-tax fight will continue this week, as the House votes on a GOP-authored proposal that would link the extension of the tax cut sought by Obama with Republican priorities, including a measure to speed the construction of the controversial Keystone XL oil pipeline.
On Sunday, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) predicted that some Democrats who support construction of the 1,700-mile pipeline from Canada to the Gulf Coast would vote for the Republican bill.
But Senate Majority Leader Harry M. Reid (D-Nev.) has said the GOP measure is a "partisan joke" that cannot win approval in the Democrat-controlled Senate. Speaking Sunday on NBC's Meet the Press, Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.) acknowledged the pipeline was "probably not going to sell." He predicted Congress would find a way to broker a different bipartisan compromise to extend the tax cut.
Before concluding work for the year, Congress must tackle other major issues as well, including figuring out how to avert a scheduled deep cut in reimbursement rates paid to doctors under Medicare and whether to extend benefits for the unemployed.
Lawmakers had hoped to settle all of the issues and leave town by the end of this week. But members are already preparing for the possibility that continued disputes could force them to remain in session over the weekend and beyond.
Even so, leaders in both parties have been increasingly optimistic that one task that won't hold things up is Congress's most basic job: funding the government. They hope to get the spending bill wrapped up this week with little fanfare, approving a measure that would spare Washington the specter of another shutdown drama nearly until next year's election.
House Appropriations Chairman Harold Rogers (R-Ky.) said late last week that it was his "hope and expectation" that the process would conclude this week.
His Senate counterpart, Appropriations Chairman Daniel K. Inouye (D-Hawaii), said he was confident talks were on a path to conclude before the recess.
The negotiations have been eased by the traumatic August debt deal, in which Congress agreed to cap discretionary spending at $1.043 trillion for the 2012 fiscal year, a figure that represents a 1.5 percent cut from the year that ended Sept. 30.
With the overall spending level for the year set — usually the issue that causes the most serious clashes between the parties — members of the appropriations committees have been able to turn to the detailed work of deciding how to divvy up spending among various federal programs.
The dynamics of the talks also have been shaped by an increasing understanding that a bloc of several dozen House Republicans is likely to oppose whatever bill emerges, convinced that Congress should view the August caps merely as a ceiling and, in fact, cut spending far more deeply.
That pattern has been established in spending votes this year, including in September, when 53 House Republicans voted against a short-term funding bill that kept the government running through late last month.
Again, 101 House Republicans voted no last month on a measure that settled funding for five federal departments — Agriculture, Commerce, Housing and Urban Development, Justice and Transportation — through next September.
Approved with a bipartisan majority, that measure also provided temporary funding for the rest of government, including the Defense Department, that lasts through Friday.
The bill under consideration this week is intended to set funding priorities for the other three-fourths of the government for the remainder of the fiscal year.
The repeated defections of rank-and-file Republicans means GOP leaders know they must broker a compromise with House Democrats to get a spending bill through their own chamber, much less the Senate.
The contentious payroll-tax debate has also provided cover for the appropriations discussions to continue with little attention.
Despite the progress, House and Senate appropriations committee members spent the weekend tangling over a series of policy proposals that could still threaten the measure's easy passage.