How would Charlie Crist fare in U.S. Senate as an independent?

WASHINGTON — If Gov. Charlie Crist actually wins his independent bid for the U.S. Senate, would his new allies be Sen. Joe Lieberman, I-Conn., and Bernie Sanders, I-Vt.? Is there an upside for Florida to have a senator in the tiny caucus of independents in the clubby U.S. Senate?

Maybe so, say some political observers. With Republicans expected to pick up a few Senate seats in November but not enough for a majority, the razor-thin balance of power could mean a friendly Republican reception for Crist.

"If the Republican Party had 65 votes they might say, 'Get the heck out of here,' but if they're at 40 something, he's going to dinner at (Senate Minority Leader) Mitch McConnell's house," said John Droney, a former Democratic state chairman in Connecticut and Lieberman ally.

Republican senators were reluctant to say how they would treat Crist should he triumph as an independent.

"It would be a question of whether an independent would caucus with us or not. All of it is speculation at this point," said Sen. John Cornyn, R-Texas, chairman of the GOP's Senate campaign.

Given the acrimony, some speculate an independent Crist might consider a flirtation with Democrats who would welcome a convert, especially one representing a key presidential battleground state.

"They could offer him not only decent committee assignments but real power," said Will Marshall, president of the Progressive Policy Institute.

Cook Political Report senior editor Jennifer Duffy notes Crist would be "smart to leave open the question of whom he would caucus with. It gives him leverage."

Stuart Rothenberg, editor of the Rothenberg Political Report which handicaps races, says Crist can't win as an independent. But if he did? "He'd be on every magazine cover, every Sunday show, Dancing With the Stars."

And he would need that new-found star power. Rothenberg said there would be such a reservoir of political poison from a contentious election that Crist would likely have trouble finding a comfortable fit in the Senate. Lieberman, he noted, isn't popular with Democrats, with whom he caucuses.

"(Crist) could find himself in a position where there would be a bidding war over him, but once he cast his lot there's so much bitterness I don't know that they would embrace him," Rothenberg said. "No one would necessarily trust him. I don't think it would be bonanza time for Florida."

The Senate's two independents — Lieberman and Sanders — caucus with Democrats, attending policy lunches and strategy sessions. Lieberman, who lost the Democratic Party primary election in 2006 but won re-election as a third party candidate, doesn't always vote the party line.

Sanders, a Socialist elected as an independent in 2006, said his lack of party affiliation has never been an issue.

"The Democratic leadership has been very kind to me. I'm treated as I suspect anyone else is in terms of seniority," he said.

Lieberman said in a CNN interview this week that being an independent "gives me the latitude to try to be a bridge on a lot of different issues, to make things happen. Or sometimes not to be a bridge, just to speak out and say what I believe."

Gary Rose, a politics professor at Sacred Heart University in Fairfield, Conn., notes that Democrats considered Lieberman's vote critical enough to keep him in their caucus and retain chairmanship of the Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Committee. He predicts a similar path for Crist, despite the rancorous race.

"Pragmatic politics supersedes principles when you need that extra vote," he said.

Gov. Charlie Crist greets the crowd in Straub Park in St. Petersburg after officially announcing that he will run as an independent for the U.S. Senate. That could make the clubby Senate a lonely place for him, surrounded by Democrats and Republicans.

CHRIS ZUPPA | Times

Gov. Charlie Crist greets the crowd in Straub Park in St. Petersburg after officially announcing that he will run as an independent for the U.S. Senate. That could make the clubby Senate a lonely place for him, surrounded by Democrats and Republicans.

How would Charlie Crist fare in U.S. Senate as an independent? 04/29/10 [Last modified: Friday, April 30, 2010 2:19pm]

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