Make us your home page

Today’s top headlines delivered to you daily.

(View our Privacy Policy)

New Florida poll shows Obama has work to do

Lucky for Barack Obama that the election is 13 months away, because a new Florida poll shows him trailing Mitt Romney and neck and neck with Texas Gov. Rick Perry and Minnesota Rep. Michele Bachmann.

The Aug. 18-22 Sachs/Mason-Dixon poll underscores the work Obama has to do if he hopes to win Florida again: Only 41 percent of likely voters surveyed approve of the job he's doing, while 56 percent disapprove, including 55 percent of independents.

"Unlike 2008, if the election were held today, President Obama would face a stiffer headwind to hold onto Florida and its 29 electoral votes against a top-tier Republican challenger — and that could cost him re-election," said Ron Sachs, president of Ron Sachs Communications. "Judging by the poll, President Obama's success in 2008 will be more difficult to duplicate in 2012. The presidency will go to the candidate with the message that resonates with Florida's unique and diverse population and the resources to ensure that message is received by voters across the state."

In one-on-one match-ups, Obama trails Romney, the former governor of Massachusetts, 51 percent to 43 percent and Perry 46 percent to 45 percent. Obama narrowly edges Bachmann 46 percent to 44 percent, the poll found.

Among likely Republican primary voters in Florida, Romney leads with 28 percent, followed by Perry with 21 percent, Bachmann with 13 percent, businessman Herman Cain with 7 percent, former Rep. Newt Gingrich with 5 percent, Rep. Ron Paul with 4 percent, former Sen. Rick Santorum with 2 percent. Seventeen percent of respondents were undecided. Former Utah Gov. Jon Huntsman, whose campaign is based in Orlando, didn't even register in the poll.

The telephone survey of 625 likely voters was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research of Washington and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points. For questions only relating to the Republican primary, Mason-Dixon surveyed 300 Republicans and the margin of error is plus or minus 5.8 percent.

Independent voters typically decide statewide elections in Florida, and at this early stage Romney is the strongest among that group. He leads Obama by 2 percentage points among independents, while Perry and Bachmann both trail by 7.

Adam C. Smith can be reached at [email protected]

New Florida poll shows Obama has work to do 08/25/11 [Last modified: Thursday, August 25, 2011 5:29pm]
Photo reprints | Article reprints

© 2017 Tampa Bay Times


Join the discussion: Click to view comments, add yours

  1. Lightning edges Red Wings on road

    Lightning Strikes

    DETROIT — The digs were different, the Lightning seeing the masterfully-done new Little Caesar's Arena for the first time.

    Lightning center/Red Wings’ killer Tyler Johnson gets past defenseman Trevor Daley on his way to the first goal of the game.
  2. Armwood pulls away to defeat Plant 27-7, remain undefeated


    SEFFNER — First-year Armwood coach Evan Davis pulled out all the stops to get his team psyched for Monday's annual grudge match against Plant.

    Armwood defensive end Malcolm Lamar (97) gets fired up before the start of the game between Plant High School Panthers and the Armwood High School Hawks in Suffer, Fla. on Monday, Oct. 16, 2017.
  3. Clearwater police: Car thief dead after owner fires gun


    CLEARWATER — One man is dead after the owner of a car fired shots at the thieves who were stealing it Monday night, police said.

  4. Iraqi forces sweep into Kirkuk, checking Kurdish independence drive


    KIRKUK, Iraq — After weeks of threats and posturing, the Iraqi government began a military assault Monday to curb the independence drive by the nation's Kurdish minority, wresting oil fields and a contested city from separatists pushing to break away from Iraq.

    Iraqi security forces patrol Monday in Tuz Khormato, about 45 miles south of Kirkuk, a disputed city that the government seized in response to last month’s Kurdish vote for independence.
  5. Trump and McConnell strive for unity amid rising tensions


    WASHINGTON — President Donald Trump and Sen. Mitch McConnell, the Republican leader, tried to convey a sense of harmony Monday after months of private feuding that threatened to undermine their party's legislative push in the coming weeks to enact a sweeping tax cut.

    President Donald Trump and Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell field questions Monday in the Rose Garden of the White House. “We have been friends for a long time,” Trump said.