Saturday, November 18, 2017
Tampa Bay Weather

NOAA predicts nine to 15 named storms in near-normal hurricane season

RECOMMENDED READING


After several busy years, hurricane experts are predicting a near-normal season.

Nine to 15 named storms are expected during the six-month hurricane season beginning June 1, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

Of those storms, four to eight will likely be hurricanes and one to three will become major hurricanes with wind gusts of at least 111 mph, NOAA officials said.

The prediction is significantly scaled back from last year, which saw 17 named storms and six hurricanes, three of which were Category 3 or higher.

In the 2010 season, 19 named storms formed in the Atlantic, of which 12 were hurricanes.

This change, forecasters said, is largely due to cool sea surface temperatures in the eastern Atlantic, high wind shear and what experts believe will be a game-changing El Niño season, which could thwart hurricane development from August through October.

El Niño, or the development of warm surface waters in the eastern Pacific Ocean, would hamper Atlantic storm development by creating harsh wind shear moving across Central America.

"If (El Niño) develops by late summer, it could shift the overall hurricane activity toward the lower end of our range," said Robert Detrick, director of NOAA's Oceanic and Atmospheric Research division. "But our message is not just about numbers and percents, it's about preparedness."

Experts encouraged the public to hope for the best but prepare for the worst, alluding to Hurricane Andrew, the Category 5 hurricane that devastated South Florida in 1992 during a late-starting season that produced only six named storms.

"There's no such thing as just a tropical storm," NOAA hurricane forecaster Gerry Bell said. "There's no such thing as a weak hurricane."

Comments
Two months after Hurricane Maria, Puerto Rico struggles to regain electricity, thousands flee

Two months after Hurricane Maria, Puerto Rico struggles to regain electricity, thousands flee

Los Angeles Times (TNS)ANASCO, Puerto Rico — The lights remain off in bustling cities and in small rural villages. Gas generators, the only alternative to the downed power lines that seem to be everywhere, continuously hum outside hospitals and bodeg...
Updated: 27 minutes ago
Forecast: Cold front to bring rain, wind gusts to Tampa Bay

Forecast: Cold front to bring rain, wind gusts to Tampa Bay

ST. PETERSBURG — A warm Sunday will be threatened by a few afternoon rain showers and wind gusts up to 20 mph, forecasters predict. 10News WTSPThe latest Tampa Bay-area radar 10News WTSPFeels-like temperatu...
Updated: 10 hours ago
Forecast: Ideal conditions across Tampa leading to weekend, but rain is on its way

Forecast: Ideal conditions across Tampa leading to weekend, but rain is on its way

The week ends with more virtually ideal weather conditions across Tampa Bay, but that changes a bit on Sunday with the arrival of a cold front that could result in a soggy Thanksgiving.10News WTSPFeels-like temperatures around the Tampa Bay area Whi...
Published: 11/17/17
Forecast: Low clouds will yield to sunny, pleasant conditions across Tampa Bay

Forecast: Low clouds will yield to sunny, pleasant conditions across Tampa Bay

A cloudy morning will lead to another cool, sunny day as a string of pleasant, comfortable days will remain intact across Tampa Bay.Temperatures are starting off in the upper 50s to low 60s. Once the low clouds burn off as the day progresses, dry air...
Published: 11/16/17
Forecast: Sunny, breezy and refreshing conditions prevail across Tampa Bay

Forecast: Sunny, breezy and refreshing conditions prevail across Tampa Bay

Wednesday is setting up as another sunny, pleasant and breezy day across Tampa Bay.10News WTSPFeels-like temperatures around the Tampa Bay area Residents are waking up to temperatures anywhere from 5 to 10 degrees cooler than Tuesday, with lows in t...
Published: 11/15/17
Forecast: Cool breezes drive pleasant conditions across Tampa Bay

Forecast: Cool breezes drive pleasant conditions across Tampa Bay

Cooler air, filtering from the north along with breezy winds, will create more of a fall feel across the Tampa Bay region.10News WTSPFeels-like temperatures around the Tampa Bay area St. Petersburg is experiencing sustained winds of 17 mph, and some...
Published: 11/14/17
Forecast: Skies clear, setting stage for a sunny and pleasant week across Tampa Bay

Forecast: Skies clear, setting stage for a sunny and pleasant week across Tampa Bay

After a relatively cloudy weekend, skies will clear across the Tampa Bay region on Monday, setting the stage for a sunny, pleasant and warm week.10News WTSPFeels-like temperatures around the Tampa Bay area Residents are waking up to temperatures in ...
Published: 11/13/17
Forecast: Scattered rain in Tampa Bay on Sunday

Forecast: Scattered rain in Tampa Bay on Sunday

ST. PETERSBURG — Rain showers will affect a warm Sunday in the Tampa Bay area, but the rest of the week will be sunny and moderate, forecasters predict. 10News WTSPThe latest Tampa Bay-area radar 10News WTS...
Published: 11/12/17
As Irma flooded Alafia homes, Swiftmud sent more water their way

As Irma flooded Alafia homes, Swiftmud sent more water their way

LITHIA — Having lived along the Alafia River all his life, Mike Cribbs has seen plenty of floods.But the near record-level surge of water that inundated his home in the wake of Hurricane Irma just didn’t make sense to him.Lithia received only about 6...
Published: 11/10/17
Updated: 11/11/17

Forecast: Cold front only brings slight heat relief for Tampa Bay area

A weak cold front that is pushing through the Tampa Bay area won’t have a significant impact on our weekend weather, but another front could bring more fall-like conditions next week.10News WTSPFeels-like temperatures around the Tampa Bay area The f...
Published: 11/10/17