Monday, November 20, 2017
Tampa Bay Weather

Storm surge flooding forecast in Tampa for Davis Islands, Harbour Island, Bayshore, West Shore

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TAMPA — Most of Davis Islands could see at least 3 feet of Hurricane Irma-driven flooding early Monday morning, and much of the suburb near downtown could get more than 6 feet of flooding, according to an update Saturday afternoon from the National Weather Service.

Storm surge flooding could begin as early at late Sunday night or early Monday morning, the weather service said. It could peak at Monday morning's high tide, which is at 5:27 a.m. in Hillsborough Bay.

The highest storm surge flooding is expected to be 5 to 9 feet above ground level in northeast Hillsborough Bay.

Parts of Palmetto Beach near the port of Tampa and the Palm River area also could get 6 or more feet of flooding. Harbour Island, Bayshore Boulevard, the West Shore area, MacDill Air Force Base, Apollo Beach, Ruskin and coastal areas along Tampa Bay north of the Courtney Campbell Causeway could see storm surge flooding of 3 feet or more.

The forecast also projects:

• A 70 percent chance of hurricane-force winds for the Tampa Bay area and central Florida.

• Tropical force winds are likely to reach Tampa and St. Petersburg as early as 2 p.m. Sunday, though they could arrive as much as 12 hours earlier.

• Rainfall totals are expected to be up to 6 inches in northwest Hillsborough and then rise heading east across the county. The Plant City area could get more than 11 inches of rain.

• The Alafia River has more than a 30 percent chance of major river flooding Monday through at least Wednesday.

Contact Richard Danielson at [email protected] or (813) 226-3403. Follow @Danielson_Times

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