Polls in Florida show Hillary Clinton ahead of Donald Trump. But beware 2012.
At this point four years ago, with 14 days to go, polling showed Mitt Romney ahead of Barack Obama by 1.8 percentage points, according to the RealClearPolitics.com average of surveys. Obama ending up winning by 0.9 percentage points, or about 74,000 votes.
Clinton currently leads Florida by 3.8 percentage points in a four-way race that includes third-party candidates Gary Johnson and Jill Stein. Without them, Clinton's lead is 4 percentage points.
The advantage comes as Clinton and allies have spent $58 million in TV ads in the Sunshine State, while Trump and team have poured in about $23 million.
"We are winning and the press is refusing to report it," Trump wrote Monday on Twitter. During a rally in St. Augustine, Trump urged supporters to cast ballots early.
"Leave here today and vote," he said. "Just get it over with."
Barack Obama was ahead by 2.0 percentage points with two weeks to go. He beat John McCain by 2.8 percentage points.
Mitt Romney was up 1.8 percentage points. President Obama won the state by 0.9 percentage points.
Hillary Clinton currently leads Florida by 3.8 percentage points, according to the RealClearPolitics.com average of polls.