ROME — After more than a year of stable but unelected government, Italy appeared headed for a period of uncertainty Monday as results from a closely watched election showed a major backlash against the political establishment and signs of gridlock in parliament.
An inconclusive outcome threatens to unnerve investors and spark a flareup of Europe's debt crisis. Investors are worried that prolonged instability in Italy could compromise efforts to improve competitiveness and to turn around a lingering recession in the eurozone's third-largest economy.
Partial returns from voting on Sunday and Monday gave the most seats in the 630-seat lower house of parliament to a coalition of center-left parties led by Pier Luigi Bersani, a former communist who looks likely to become prime minister. But his forces were struggling to prevail in the equally powerful upper chamber, which has about 315 seats, over the conservative camp of former Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi. He mounted a strong comeback after having been forced to step down from office in November 2011 amid a severe loss of market confidence in his government.
And both houses must deal with the stunning success of a grass roots protest party headed by a professional comedian, Beppe Grillo, whose 5 Star Movement came in third overall on the back of a populist, antigovernment message that offers plenty of voter disgust but little in the way of experience or concrete plans. Grillo's rallies across Italy, marked by profanity-laced tirades against the country's political elite, drew hundreds of thousands of supporters.
Without a decisive grip on power in both houses of parliament, Bersani will have a tough time putting together a durable government, which raises the prospect of yet another trip to the polls for Italians months from now.
"You have an electorate split into three pieces," said Sergio Fabbrini, a political science professor at the LUISS Guido Carli university in Rome. "It will be very difficult to identify a viable majority within the parliament. It will be very difficult to have a coalition."