The NFL season is a quarter of the way complete and nothing is as it might have seemed. The Vikings and Eagles are up, the Cardinals and Panthers are down. The Broncos and Patriots have been just fine, even without Peyton Manning and Tom Brady. With Brady set to return from a four-game suspension, the Times' Bucs/NFL coverage team looks at the biggest surprises and disappointments so far this season.
Player or team to buy
Rick Stroud, @NFLStroud
Buy the Philadelphia Eagles. Wentz is the real deal and their defense is better than expected in an NFC East up for grabs.
Buy Matt Ryan. Matty Ice just threw for 500 yards and WR Julio Jones had 300 of it receiving.
Tom Jones, @tomwjones
I'm buying Dak Prescott. The Cowboys rookie quarterback is smart with the football and, as we've seen here in Tampa Bay, that might be a QB's most valuable asset. Tony Romo will eventually be the started when he returns, but Prescott is this franchise's future.
Greg Auman, @gregauman
I'll buy the Eagles, but more because of Jim Schwartz's defense than the rookie QB. Most would have picked the big-spending Giants or the Cowboys to unseat the Redskins, but Philadelphia has been the most impressive team out of the gate.
Julio Jones? It's hard to improve on 1,871 receiving yards, which led the NFL last season, but after gaining 300 yards on 15 targets Sunday, he looked poised to become the first 2,000-yard receiver in NFL history. The Bucs won't have it easy trying to chase down Matt Ryan and his favorite target, who have a two-game lead on the rest of the NFC South.
Thomas Bassinger, @tometrics
Buying the Ravens. Teams that lose a lot of close games tend to bounce back the next season. Fourteen of Baltimore's games last season were decided by one score. It was 5-9 in those games.
Ernest Hooper, @hoop4you
Baltimore Ravens (but schedule grows increasingly difficult)
Martin Fennelly, @mjfennelly
Buy Arizona. They will get better
Player or team to sell
Selling Lamar Miller, Texans. Miller's 351 rushing yards are fourth-most in the NFL, but can it last? His 93 carries are second only to Ezekiel Elliott (94) of the Cowboys. In four seasons with the Dolphins, he carried the ball 20 times twice. This season, he has carried the ball 20 times in three of four games, and the one game he didn't have 20 carries, he had 19. His 3.8 yards a carry ranks 26th.
QBs who over-value their worth (see Cousins, Kirk; Fitzpatrick, Ryan)
Sell Denver quarterback Trevor Siemian. Even at 4-0 I'm not buying him.