Cardinals at Falcons, 1
Line/OU: Falcons by 5; 50½
Forget everything you learned in geography class. The Falcons will win the South by conquering the West. Arizona is one of three NFC West teams the Falcons play in the next four weeks. The Matt Ryan-to-Julio Jones connection remains the statistical best in the league. Let's see what that pair can do against Arizona's top-ranked pass defense. The Cardinals have maneuvered into a playoff scenario that is long on hope and short on probability.
Bengals at Ravens, 1
Line/OU: Ravens by 3½; 40½
How southbound are the Bengals? Retired WR Chad Johnson offered to help on extra points after Mike Nugent missed twice in a loss last week. "I'm available & enjoy pressure situations," Johnson posted on Twitter. The Bengals can use the help. They just lost WR A.J. Green (hamstring) and RB Giovani Bernard (knee), shelving a combined 135 catches for 1,300 yards. The Ravens have held half their opponents to under 20 points. If they cannot end a five-game skid to the Bengals under these circumstances, they have no business challenging the Steelers for the AFC North title.
Jaguars at Bills, 1
Line/OU: Bills by 7½; 45
Bills coach Rex Ryan called the Jaguars "the best two-win team I've ever seen," forgetting every 2-0 team in history. Jacksonville plays solid defense (No. 7 in yards granted); the offense is the disaster behind five straight losses. Blake Bortles' 13 INTs are tied for the league's worst, and now he's playing with a bad shoulder. Buffalo has its problems: RB LeSean McCoy had thumb surgery Monday, and leading WR Robert Woods (sprained knee) is doubtful. But a loss now would be inexplicable, and the surest path to an NFL-leading 17th straight year without a postseason date. Buffalo does have WR Sammy Watkins (foot) returning off injured reserve.
Titans at Bears, 1
Line/OU: Titans by 6; 42
Can't the Titans make up their minds? They've seesawed between wins and losses for six weeks, unable to get above .500. DeMarco Murray has hit the 1,000-yard rushing mark. Marcus Mariota is a top 10 passer. Outside LBs Brian Orakpo and Derrick Morgan have a combined 17 sacks. The run defense ranks seventh. Is the secondary really that undermining? While Bears QB Jay Cutler has been coping with a shoulder injury, Matt Barkley prepared for his first NFL start after nearly four seasons.
Giants at Browns, 1
Line/OU: Giants by 7; 44
A few members of the 2008 Lions, the only NFL team to endure the anguish of an 0-16 season, recently said they would not wish the same fate on the Browns. This game won't do anything to relieve that sympathy, or Cleveland's pain. Browns QB Josh McCown draws the short stick. He will start in place of concussed rookie Cody Kessler, who became the third Cleveland QB to go down behind an offensive line that has allowed a league-worst 38 sacks. Fourteen sacks plus eight INTs have equaled a five-game winning streak for the Giants.
Chargers at Texans, 1
Line/OU: Chargers by 3; 46½
Houston finishes the season against six straight foes who went into Week 12 without winning records. If the Texans miss the playoffs after that, don't blame the Mexico City altitude surrounding Monday's 27-20 loss to the Raiders. Houston QB Brock Osweiler won't sleep on the Chargers; as a Bronco last year, he threw three INTs against them in the regular-season finale, which helped put him on the bench, behind Peyton Manning, for Denver's Super Bowl run. The Chargers are the best last-place team in the league, which means no one notices that Melvin Gordon has 838 rushing yards and 11 TDs.
49ers at Dolphins, 1
Line/OU: Dolphins by 7; 44½
Half a season ago, these teams were 1-4 equals in the standings. Only one team refused to let go of the sinking anvil. That would be the 49ers, losers of nine straight for just the second time in their history. Point one finger at a defense that is threatening to set the league record for yardage surrendered in a season. Point another at coach Chip Kelly's hurry-off offense, which ranks last in time of possession. The Dolphins' Jay Ajayi is destined to rush for 100 yards by simply rolling out of bed. Miami has won four straight by a TD or less.
Rams at Saints, 1
Line/OU: Saints by 7½; 46
The Rams, ranked sixth in total defense, give up 18-plus points per week; the Saints, ranked first in offense, bank 28.5 a game. On the flip side, no team has scored fewer points this season than the Rams, who are eight behind the Bears and 30 behind the Jets. And the Saints have allowed more points per game than all but the 49ers and Browns. Hence, a showdown for the right to be 5-6. Expect Rams coach Jeff Fisher to pass Tom Landry for second place on the list of most career losses and to pull within three of clipping Dan Reeves for the record.
Patriots at Jets, 4:25
Line/OU: Patriots by 7½; 45½
Jets QB Ryan Fitzpatrick complained in October that folks in the team's headquarters didn't believe in him. Now returning to the starting lineup to face New England, he might wish they didn't believe in him so much. Fitzpatrick shares the league's INT lead with 13, despite missing two games. So when the coach, Todd Bowles, said Fitzpatrick looked "normal" at practice this week, it's not certain what that portends for a team that has lost six of eight. The Pats' Tom Brady should tie Peyton Manning for most career wins as a starting QB with 200.
Panthers at Raiders, 4:25
Line/OU: Raiders by 3; 49½
Everyone loves the Raiders again. TV executives. Mexico City. Las Vegas. And Oakland, with a renewed passion that prompted the mayor to announce she wants to work out a deal to keep the Raiders from moving to Nevada. Derek Carr keeps finding ways to win games near the finish line, where he has delivered his best work (see eight TD passes and a 119.4 QB rating in the fourth quarter). The Panthers have won three of four, but LB Luke Kuechly (concussion) remains out and here's hoping he's not rushed back. Carolina can miss the playoffs just fine without him.
Chiefs at Broncos, 8:30
Line/OU: Broncos by 3½; 38½
The Broncos are the defending Super Bowl champs and winners of five consecutive AFC West titles. The Chiefs have won 17 of 20 regular-season games. Remember that before mentally sending the Patriots and the Raiders straight to the AFC title game. Each defense is carrying its offense; both teams are in the bottom third of the NFL for yardage gained. Kansas City has a league-high 23 takeaways; Denver is just behind with 20. Both teams are a game behind Raiders in the division, and both still have home games against the Raiders.
Packers at Eagles, 8:30 Monday
Line/OU: Eagles by 4; 47½
Packers appear on Monday Night Football for a 24th straight season, second-longest streak in league behind Denver's 25. Packers are 30-31-1 on Monday nights; Eagles are 33-26. Packers, who are finishing three-game road trip, have lost four straight. Packers' Aaron Rodgers has nine TDs, two INTs and 104.3 passer rating in past three road games. Jordy Nelson leads NFL with nine TD catches. Eagles are 4-0 at home, where they've outscored opponents 108-38. Philadelphia's red-zone defense is first in NFL in scoring efficiency at 73.3 percent. Eagles allowing 18.6 points per game, fourth best in league.