Make us your home page
Instagram

Get the quickest, smartest news, analysis and photos from the Bucs game emailed to you shortly after the final whistle.

(View our Privacy Policy)

What Madden NFL 17 says about Bucs kicker Roberto Aguayo

[EA Sports]

[EA Sports]

Here at the Tampa Bay Times, we're not sure how we feel about Bucs rookie kicker Roberto Aguayo.

In July, I wrote that even if Aguayo is among the best kickers in the NFL, it's unlikely that he could make the Bucs a winner. Two weeks ago, Martin Fennelly wrote that we should leave him alone and "just let the kid kick." Tom Jones weighed in Tuesday and argued that the kicking game is among the Bucs' biggest concerns.

Madden NFL 17 isn't sure, either.

Below is a record of Aguayo's field goal attempts from 10 simulations of the 2016 season.

FGM/FGA FG% FG% rank FG <29 yds FG 30-39 yds FG 40-49 yds FG 50+ yds
Simulation 1 15/20 75 19 0/0 5/5 5/5 5/10
Simulation 2 19/22 86 6 3/3 2/2 6/6 8/11
Simulation 3 14/23 60 30 3/3 3/4 7/8 1/8
Simulation 4 16/21 76 18 5/5 2/2 3/3 6/11
Simulation 5 20/25 80 15 5/5 4/4 7/7 4/9
Simulation 6 17/20 85 6 2/2 3/4 5/5 7/9
Simulation 7 21/24 87 2 9/9 4/4 8/8 0/3
Simulation 8 14/21 66 26 1/1 3/3 6/6 4/11
Simulation 9 19/25 76 18 5/6 3/3 6/6 5/10
Simulation 10 13/18 72 28 4/4 4/4 2/2 3/8
Average 16.8/21.9 76.3 16.8 3.7/3.8 3.3/3.5 5.5/5.6 4.3/9

It seems that video-game Aguayo was all over the place. In one simulation, he made 86 percent of his field goals. The next, just 60 percent. In another simulation, he made 87 percent of his field goals, the second-best conversation rate among kickers. The next, he had one of the worst conversation rates.

If you drill into the data a bit further, you find that Aguayo was actually very consistent, even remarkably so. On field goal attempts from inside 50 yards, he was virtually automatic, converting 125 of 129 tries. On attempts of 50 or more yards, he was as sure of a thing as a coin toss, hitting 43 of 90 tries.

Contact Thomas Bassinger at tbassinger@tampabay.com. Follow @tometrics.

What Madden NFL 17 says about Bucs kicker Roberto Aguayo 08/23/16 [Last modified: Tuesday, August 23, 2016 4:46pm]
Photo reprints | Article reprints

© 2017 Tampa Bay Times

    

Join the discussion: Click to view comments, add yours

Loading...
  1. Cup-winning Lightning captain Dave Andreychuk makes Hockey Hall of Fame

    Lightning Strikes

    TAMPA — Hall of Fame coach Scotty Bowman said Dave Andreychuk's name has surfaced often the past eight years with the selection committee.

    30 Oct 2001:  Left wing Dave Andreychuk #25 of the Tampa Bay Lightning skates towards the blue line during the NHL game against the Toronto Maple Leafs at Air Canada Centre in Toronto, Canada.  The Maple Leafs defeated the Lightning 3-2.  Mandatory Credit:  Dave Sanford /Allsport
  2. Rays acquire slick-fielding shortstop Adeiny Hechavarria from Marlins

    The Heater

    ST. PETERSBURG — Chaim Bloom said the Rays weren't necessarily in the market for a shortstop. The team has a number of those. But when the Marlins recently began shopping Adeiny Hechavarria, well, that was too much to pass up.

    Adeiny Hechavarria has emerged as one of baseball&#8217;s top defensive shortstops in the past three seasons with the Marlins.
  3. Rays at Pirates, 7:05 p.m. Tuesday, Pittsburgh

    The Heater

    Tonight: at Pirates

    7:05, PNC Park

    TV/radio: Fox Sports Sun; 620-AM, 680-AM (Spanish)

    Probable pitchers

    Rays: Alex Cobb (6-5, 4.05)

    PORT CHARLOTTE, FL - FEBRUARY 18:  Alex Cobb #53 of the Tampa Bay Rays poses for a portrait during the Tampa Bay Rays photo day on February 18, 2017 at Charlotte Sports Park in Port Charlotte, Floida.  (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images)
  4. Lightning journal: Forward Yanni Gourde agrees to two-year deal

    Lightning Strikes

    TAMPA — Just three years ago, Yanni Gourde was fighting to stay in pro hockey.

    Tampa Bay Lightning center Yanni Gourde celebrates after scoring against the Florida Panthers during the second period of an NHL hockey game, Saturday, March 11, 2017, in Tampa, Fla. (AP Photo/Chris O'Meara) TPA108
  5. What they're saying about Dave Andreychuk making Hall of Fame

    Lightning Strikes

    "Dave helped me so much when I was just starting my career, a young kid that was looking to find his way as a hockey player, a person and a member of the Tampa Bay community. In addition to watching him compile such awe-inspiring statistics, I remember him as a big brother to me and many others, making sure all the …