Make us your home page
Instagram

Get the quickest, smartest news, analysis and photos from the Bucs game emailed to you shortly after the final whistle.

(View our Privacy Policy)

What Madden NFL 17 says about Bucs kicker Roberto Aguayo

[EA Sports]

[EA Sports]

Here at the Tampa Bay Times, we're not sure how we feel about Bucs rookie kicker Roberto Aguayo.

In July, I wrote that even if Aguayo is among the best kickers in the NFL, it's unlikely that he could make the Bucs a winner. Two weeks ago, Martin Fennelly wrote that we should leave him alone and "just let the kid kick." Tom Jones weighed in Tuesday and argued that the kicking game is among the Bucs' biggest concerns.

Madden NFL 17 isn't sure, either.

Below is a record of Aguayo's field goal attempts from 10 simulations of the 2016 season.

FGM/FGA FG% FG% rank FG <29 yds FG 30-39 yds FG 40-49 yds FG 50+ yds
Simulation 1 15/20 75 19 0/0 5/5 5/5 5/10
Simulation 2 19/22 86 6 3/3 2/2 6/6 8/11
Simulation 3 14/23 60 30 3/3 3/4 7/8 1/8
Simulation 4 16/21 76 18 5/5 2/2 3/3 6/11
Simulation 5 20/25 80 15 5/5 4/4 7/7 4/9
Simulation 6 17/20 85 6 2/2 3/4 5/5 7/9
Simulation 7 21/24 87 2 9/9 4/4 8/8 0/3
Simulation 8 14/21 66 26 1/1 3/3 6/6 4/11
Simulation 9 19/25 76 18 5/6 3/3 6/6 5/10
Simulation 10 13/18 72 28 4/4 4/4 2/2 3/8
Average 16.8/21.9 76.3 16.8 3.7/3.8 3.3/3.5 5.5/5.6 4.3/9

It seems that video-game Aguayo was all over the place. In one simulation, he made 86 percent of his field goals. The next, just 60 percent. In another simulation, he made 87 percent of his field goals, the second-best conversation rate among kickers. The next, he had one of the worst conversation rates.

If you drill into the data a bit further, you find that Aguayo was actually very consistent, even remarkably so. On field goal attempts from inside 50 yards, he was virtually automatic, converting 125 of 129 tries. On attempts of 50 or more yards, he was as sure of a thing as a coin toss, hitting 43 of 90 tries.

Contact Thomas Bassinger at tbassinger@tampabay.com. Follow @tometrics.

What Madden NFL 17 says about Bucs kicker Roberto Aguayo 08/23/16 [Last modified: Tuesday, August 23, 2016 4:46pm]
Photo reprints | Article reprints

© 2017 Tampa Bay Times

    

Join the discussion: Click to view comments, add yours

Loading...
  1. Joe Maddon gets warm reception in return to the Trop

    The Heater

    ST. PETERSBURG — The night was arranged to honor former Rays manager Joe Maddon in his first visit back to the Trop, and the standing ovation from the bipartisan crowd and scoreboard video tribute seemed proper acknowledgments of his hefty role in the Rays' success during his nine-year stint.

    Chicago Cubs manager Joe Maddon (70) talks with reporters during a press conference before the start of the game between the Chicago Cubs and the Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Fla. on Tuesday, Sept. 19, 2017.
  2. Rays vs. Cubs, 7:10 p.m. Wednesday, Tropicana Field

    The Heater

    Tonight: vs. Cubs

    7:10, Tropicana Field

    TV/radio: Fox Sports Sun; 620-AM; 680-AM (Spanish)

    Tampa Bay Rays' Blake Snell poses for a picture during the team's photo day at baseball spring training in Port Charlotte, Fla., Saturday, Feb. 18, 2017. (AP Photo/David Goldman)
  3. Marc Topkin's takeaways from Tuesday's Rays-Cubs game

    The Heater

    Chris Archer's night ended with his 11th loss, but he and the Rays should feel good about his six solid innings. After the forearm tightness scare in Chicago, he had two rough outings (15 hits, 11 runs, seven innings), so Tuesday was a reassuring rebound.

  4. At 6-8, Lightning prospect Oleg Sosunov comes with, and needs, a high ceiling

    Lightning Strikes

    TAMPA — When Hall of Famer Phil Esposito first saw Lightning prospect Oleg Sosunov, he joked that the 6-foot-8 defenseman could reach the Amalie Arena ceiling.

    Lightning 6-foot-8 defenseman Oleg Sosunov competes in the preseason opener. Phil Esposito jokes that Sosunov can reach the ceiling at Amalie Arena.
  5. Jones: Rays' Kevin Cash doesn't mind following in Joe Maddon's steps

    The Heater

    ST. PETERSBURG — On this particular night, he's the other guy. He's like a talk-show guest scooted to the end of the couch. He is Kevin Cash. And the Rays manager is standing in the home dugout at Tropicana Field.

    ST. PETERSBURG, FL - SEPTEMBER 17: Manager Kevin Cash (L) of the Tampa Bay Rays reacts to action during the game against the Boston Red Sox at Tropicana Field on September 17, 2017 in St. Petersburg, Florida. (Photo by Joseph Garnett Jr./Getty Images) 700012494